The Cincinnati Reds host the Los Angeles Dodgers on July 30, 2025. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSOH.
The Dodgers are favored to complete a three-game sweep over the Reds on Wednesday, as Shohei Ohtani (1.50 ERA, 12 IP) will make his seventh start of the season versus Nick Martinez (4.69 ERA, 121 IP).
Find my MLB betting preview and Dodgers vs Reds prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Dodgers vs Reds Prediction
- Dodgers vs Reds pick: Under 9.5 -110 (Bet365, Play to -120)
My Dodgers vs Reds best bet is under 9.5 total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Dodgers vs Reds Odds
| Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -110 | 9.5 -110o / -110u | -170 |
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -110 | 9.5 -110o / -110u | +140 |
Dodgers vs Reds Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | Stat | RHP Nick Martinez (CIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | W-L | 9-9 |
| 0.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.8 |
| 1.50/2.62 | ERA /xERA | 4.69/4.07 |
| 2.76/3.29 | FIP / xFIP | 4.10/4.41 |
| 1.00 | WHIP | 1.22 |
| 21.3% | K-BB% | 11.4% |
| 35.5% | GB% | 36.8% |
| 117 | Stuff+ | 91 |
| 90 | Location+ | 109 |
Nick Martin’s Dodgers vs Reds Preview
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview: Ohtani Dominates in Short Bursts
While it would probably be more exciting to neutral observers to see Ohtani receiving a more traditional starter's workload, the Dodgers have been very carefully easing the runaway NL MVP favorite back into action. Ohtani pitched just a single inning in his first two starts of the year, two innings in the following two starts, and three innings in each of his last two outings.
Given that Los Angeles still owns a four-game lead over the San Diego Padres atop the NL West, the team will surely be in no rush to stretch Ohtani much deeper into games for the time being, and it seems reasonable to assume he will handle only three or four innings in this matchup.
Perhaps Ohtani's results will suffer to some extent once he is working through opposing lineups more than once, but he has been pitching at a very high level so far this season. He holds an FIP of 2.76 and has struck out 27.7% of batters faced. He's been hard-hit just 32.3% of the time.
Ohtani's pitch metrics are also excellent, as he's pitched to a Stuff+ rating of 117, with better than average ratings on each of his pitches.
Emmet Sheehan appears to be most likely to be used after Ohtani in this matchup, as he will likely be used as a long reliever moving forward with Blake Snell likely to return from injury later in the week.
Sheehan holds a 3.25 xERA and 4.07 xFIP in 21 and 1/3 innings of work in MLB this season. He also holds a Stuff+ rating of 102 and a Pitching+ rating of 101 this season.
The Dodgers have not been in good form offensively of late, as over the last 30 days they hold a 27th-ranked wRC+ of 91 and rank 28th in weighted on-base average. Their process at the plate has not been encouraging recently, as they struck out at the third-highest rate in MLB and rank 24th in hard-hit rate over the last month. Their proven lineup will find a way to produce better results moving forward, but they have certainly not been impressive recently.
Losing Max Muncy to injury has been one reason for the team's drop-off in production, as Muncy holds an OPS of .832 this season and an OPS of 1.227 with runners in scoring position. Muncy is close to returning, as he played his first rehab game last night, going 0-for-3 with two strikeouts.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview: Martinez Trending Up, Offense Lagging
While it's been a slow stretch at the plate for the Dodgers, the Reds have been one of the few teams in baseball with worse offensive statistics over the last month of play. Cincinnati ranks 28th in wRC+ over the last month and 26th in OPS. It holds a hard-hit rate of 30.2% in that span and has struck out 21.1% of the time.
The Reds should remain at close to full strength in this matchup, as TJ Friedl is likely to be the only notable position player out of the lineup after going on the paternity list Tuesday.
Martinez appears to be a slightly better starter than his 4.69 ERA suggests, as he holds an xERA of 4.07, and allowed a hard-hit rate of 35.3%. He's stranded just 67.2% of baserunners and allowed a BABIP of .317 with runners in scoring position. Martinez also holds a Pitching+ rating of 100.
Martinez enters this matchup in the midst of a better stretch of play, as throughout his last three appearances he's allowed an ERA of 3.52 and an xFIP of 3.84.
Over the last 30 days Cincinnati's relievers have pitched to the eighth-best ERA in baseball and the 12th-best xFIP.
Dodgers vs Reds Prediction, Betting Analysis
While it feels scary to back the under in a matchup pitting Martinez against the Dodgers high-powered offense, a total of 9.5 does appear to be too high for this game right now. Martinez has looked more like the pitcher that finished the 2024 season with a 3.10 ERA recently, and could be poised for another respectable outing versus an out-of-form Dodgers lineup.
Ohtani has pitched extremely well this season and will have a great chance of delivering another strong outing versus a lethargic Reds lineup in this matchup, while Sheehan also appears likely to post league average results this season.
At -110 there appears to be value in backing this game to feature less than ten runs, and I would bet the under down to -120.
Pick: Under 9.5 -110 (Bet365, Play to -120)
Moneyline
My lean would be with the Dodgers at -170 in terms of a side, but have enough belief in Martinez to think there is not quite enough value at the current number.
Run Line (Spread)
There is no side that I will be betting to cover the run-line in this matchup.
Over/Under
As outlined, backing the game to go under it's total of 9.5 is my favorite play from this matchup.
