MLB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Cardinals-Braves, 2 Other Tuesday Games

May 14, 2019 02:24 PM EDT
Credit:

St. Louis Cardinals first baseman Paul Goldschmidt (46) is celebrates with center fielder Yairo Munoz (34). Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

  • Wiseguys are betting three MLB games on Tuesday, headlined by Cardinals-Braves (7:20 p.m. ET).
  • Sharps are also getting down on Cubs-Reds (6:40 p.m. ET) and Brewers-Phillies (7:05 p.m. ET).
  • Using the tools available at The Action Network. we analyze how pros are betting each game.

It’s always a good problem to have when you’re mad about a 2-1 night that should have been 3-0. Last night wiseguys cashed the Astros-Tigers over and Angels moneyline, but the Athletics blew a 4-1 lead in the eighth to steal a perfect night from the sharps.

Bad beats are part of betting. You can’t let them drive you crazy. After all, they only make the comebacks and backdoor covers that much sweeter. On to the next.

After analyzing Tuesday’s stacked 15-game slate using the betting tools available at Sports Insights and The Action Network, I’ve identified sharp action coming down on three MLB games.


>> All odds as of 2 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time MLB odds and track your bets.


Betting Terms to Know

Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.

Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.

Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting, but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.

Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay sportsbooks in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettor would have to wager $115 to win $100.


Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds

6:40 p.m. ET

Sharp angle: Reds (moved from +115 to +105)

On paper, this looks like a layup for the public. The Cubs are 24-14 and the Reds are 18-23. And Chicago is laying a short moneyline price? Cubbies all day, right?

If it looks too good to be true, it almost always is.

This line opened with the Cubs listed as a -125 road favorite. Currently 70% of bets are backing Chicago, yet the line has plummeted away from the Cubs (-125 to -113) and toward the Reds (+115 to +105).

What caused this peculiar movement toward the Red Legs? Sharp action, of course. Cincinnati is receiving only 30% of bets but 54% of dollars, signaling big wagers in its favor.

Using our Sports Insights Bet Signals, we also tracked four separate steam and reverse line moves on Cincy, with pros getting down hard on CIN at +123, +118, +115 and +112. The fact that the payout got worse but sharps kept hitting the home team indicates supreme wiseguy confidence.

The Red Legs also find themselves in a profitable historical spot. They’re divisional dogs with a high total (9.5) and fit the top Bet Labs PRO System Betting Against the Public (+173.10 units won since 2005).

Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies

7:05 p.m. ET

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model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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