Game 4 Trends: Boston Is a Good Bet ATS Following a Loss This Season
Pictured above: Al Horford. Photo credit: Greg M. Cooper-USA TODAY Sports
The Action Network analysts John Ewing and Evan Abrams comb the Bet Labs database each day to bring you profitable trends for the slate. Here are notable historical trends for Cavs-Celtics Game 4.
Boston lost Game 3, 116-86. This is just the fourth time in the Brad Stevens era that the Celtics have lost by 30 or more points. In the next game the C’s have gone 2-1 straight-up and 2-0-1 against the spread.
Since 2005, teams that suffered a playoff loss by 30 or more points have gone 21-16 ATS in their next game. Favorites have gone 7-1 ATS, and underdogs have gone 14-15 ATS. Boston opened at +6.5 for Game 4.
That said, teams that lost by 30 or more points in the conference finals or NBA Finals have gone 8-3 ATS in their next game since 2005.
Can the Cavaliers even the series at 2-2? Since LeBron James returned to Cleveland, the Cavs have gone 2-5 SU and ATS following a playoff win by 30 or more points.
Including the playoffs and regular season, the Celtics are 21-9-1 ATS after a loss this season — the second-most profitable team in the NBA behind the Pacers. Boston is 4-0 ATS in the playoffs after a SU loss. When the Celtics have lost by double digits this season, they have gone 10-2 SU and 10-1-1 ATS in their next game.
In James’ career in the playoffs, he has defeated an opponent at home by double digits and then played his next game at home 22 times before Game 4. James’ teams have gone 19-3 SU and 13-9 ATS in those spots.