3 NBA Props for Sunday: LeBron Over/Under 38.5 Points?

May 27, 2018 02:34 AM EDT
Credit:

Greg M. Cooper – USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: LeBron James.

This article offers data-driven analysis on notable NBA player prop bets, often incorporating The Action Network’s public betting data along with the tools at FantasyLabs and Sports Insights.

Sunday’s analysis will cover the following three props for Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals featuring the Cleveland Cavaliers and Boston Celtics at 8:30 p.m. ET:

  • Jeff Green (Cavaliers) over/under 12.5 points
  • LeBron James (Cavaliers) over/under 38.5 points
  • Jayson Tatum (Celtics) over/under 2.5 assists

Looking for more props? Check out the FantasyLabs NBA Player Props tool.

 

Jeff Green Under 12.5 Points (+120)

8:30 p.m. ET | ESPN

Green will replace Kevin Love in the starting lineup, but this line feels a bit inflated. Green’s eclipsed 12.5 points just once in his past eight games, and he’s posted a usage rate of just 15.6% this series. He didn’t see a noticeable bump in usage with Love out of the lineup during the regular season, averaging just 11.1 points over those 19 games. The fact that we’re getting better than even money on this prop is enticing.

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model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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