Bucks vs. Pistons Odds: Milwaukee Making NBA Playoff Betting History in Game 4
Alonzo Adams-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Detroit Pistons head coach Dwane Casey
- The Milwaukee Bucks are 13-point road favorites against the Detroit Pistons in tonight's Game 4 of the NBA Playoffs (8 p.m. ET, TNT).
- According to Bet Labs, just one NBA playoff game since 2005 has closed with a road favorite of more than 13 points.
The Milwaukee Bucks lead the Detroit Pistons 3-0 in the first round of the NBA Playoffs and, according to betting odds for tonight’s Game 4, oddsmakers aren’t giving Detroit much of a chance to extend the series.
Milwaukee opened as a 10.5-point favorite against Detroit for Game 4 and bettors are having no trouble laying the big number.
According to The Action Network’s public betting data, 78% of tickets and 79% of money wagered on the spread are taking the Bucks, explaining why the line has shot up to a market consensus of -13.
According to our Bet Labs software, which includes archived NBA betting data since the start of the 2005 season, the largest road favorite we’ve ever tracked in the NBA Playoffs came in 2016 when the San Antonio Spurs closed at -13.5 against the Memphis Grizzlies.
For those wondering, San Antonio won that game, 116-95, covering the historically large point spread.
But how have such large favorites performed for bettors in the NBA Playoffs over a larger sample of games?
Overall, double-digit road playoff favorites are 3-1-1 against the spread (ATS) over that span, and all NBA playoff favorites of at least 10 points are 62-49-3 (55.9%).
Anyone considering betting tonight’s Bucks-Pistons Game 4 should be sure to read this piece by The Action Network’s John Ewing, which explains how bettors should approach popular favorites in the NBA playoffs.