The Dallas Mavericks (21-44) and Memphis Grizzlies (23-41) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:00 p.m. ET from FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee. The game will broadcast live on KFAA.
The Mavericks are 4.5-point favorites over the Grizzlies on the spread (Mavericks -4.5), with the over/under set at 239.5 total points. Dallas is a -198 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Memphis is +164 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into our Mavericks vs. Grizzlies predictions and NBA picks for Thursday, March 12.
Mavericks vs Grizzlies Prediction, Pick
- Mavericks vs Grizzlies pick: Cooper Flagg Over 21.5 Points (-120)
Our Grizzlies vs Mavericks best bet is on Cooper Flagg to score over 21.5 points tonight. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Mavericks vs Grizzlies Odds
| Mavericks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-4.5 -112 | 239.5 -110o / -110u | -198 |
| Grizzlies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+4.5 -108 | 239.5 -110o / -110u | +164 |
Mavericks vs Grizzlies NBA Preview
Action PRO projects forward Cooper Flagg for 25.8 points in the Mavericks' matchup against the Grizzlies tonight, giving us an excellent 25.3% edge against the market when compared to his current prop line of over/under 21.5, which is good enough to mark the Over with an A+ grade in our system.
Flagg has had to deal with foot issues recently, but was putting up great numbers before that, scoring over 27 points in five of six games during a stretch from the end of January to the start of February.
Now he's fully recovered and will face a depleted Memphis team, with Ja Morant, Scotty Pippen Jr., Santi Aldama and Taj Gibson all out. Cam Spencer is questionable. Ty Jerome, Walter Clayton Jr. and Cedric Coward are doubtful.
Mavericks vs Grizzlies Predictions, Betting Analysis
Flagg averaged 27.3 points per game last month and has an average of 20.1 this season.
He also does well on the road, with 19.7 points per game.
Tonight, he will face a Grizzlies defense that allows 118.3 points per game, ranking 24th in the NBA.
Memphis is also 22nd in defensive rating at 116.3.
Let's back Flagg to go over his points line against the Grizzlies tonight.
Pick: Cooper Flagg Over 21.5 Points (-120, DraftKings)
Spread
We're not betting either side of the spread.
Moneyline
We have no play on the moneyline.
Over/Under
Our Mavericks vs. Grizzlies betting prediction is Cooper Flagg over 21.5 points.
