Donovan Mitchell NBA Player Props | Model Projections For Knicks vs Cavaliers

Donovan Mitchell NBA Player Props | Model Projections For Knicks vs Cavaliers article feature image

Jacob Kupferman/Getty Images. Pictured: Donovan Mitchell #45 of the Cleveland Cavaliers.

The New York Knicks stunned the Cleveland Cavaliers in Game 1 of their opening-round playoff series, pulling off an upset win to send shockwaves through Cleveland and establish themselves as the new series favorite, at least according to the odds.

That loss was not due to the play of Donovan Mitchell, however, as the Cavs star posted 38 points to go with five rebounds and eight assists. Mitchell has been the catalyst behind the Cavaliers' success all year, and if they are to turn it around, he'll be one of the main reasons why.

Our Action Labs model projections have established projected value on Mitchell's prop lines for the evening. The proprietary data looks to find small edges over a big sample size in order to help bettors make more sound decisions in the long term.

Read on to see where we see value in the NBA player prop market this evening.

Donovan Mitchell Player Props, Picks

*Odds and projections as of Tuesday morning

While Mitchell posted an absurd stat line in his opening game, our projections are expecting a bit of regression from the All-Star.

The biggest edge on the board is Mitchell's assist total of 4.5, per our model projections. Over at DraftKings, this line is priced at +125 on the under. Our projections have Mitchell at an expected 4.0 assists, which grades out as a 10/10 value rating.

Another spot to bet on regression for Mitchell according to our projections is over at BetMGM, which has Mitchell's rebounds + assists total at 9.5 and +110 to the under. Our projections have him at 8.9, earning this an 8/10 grade.

As always, please bet responsibly.

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Daniel Preciado
Jun 20, 2024 UTC