Giannis Antetokounmpo NBA Player Props | Projections Top Pick For Heat vs. Bucks Game 1
Jordan Johnson/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 of the Milwaukee Bucks.
Giannis Antetokounmpo is naturally expected to have a big game in Sunday’s Game 1 between the Heat and Bucks. Action Network’s player prop projections, meanwhile, spotted a top pick for the Bucks star in the first-round opener.
Model projections crunched the odds Sunday and produced a monster edge on Antetokounmpo‘spoint total.
Pro projections crunch odds for every player and assign both a grade and an edge percentage based on how valuable the pick is.
Today’s Giannis Antetokounmpo player prop is so juicy that our projections tab it an A+ pick.
NBA player prop projections as of Sunday morning, and odds via FanDuel
Giannis Antetokounmpo Player Props, Picks
After analyzing our NBA player prop projections, the most valuable way of betting the Greek Freak is over his points total.
Antetokounmpo’s player prop point tonight is listed at 29.5. However, advanced projections disagree with how this number’s lined.
We made the fair odds for Giannis’ points 34.4 in Game 1 vs. Miami. It’s an A+ grade and massive 26% edge on the Bucks star to stuff the stat sheet in a game in which his team is a big favorite.
Most sportsbooks are offering chalky 29.5s on the over. We’ll roll with FanDuel’s odds of 29.5 at -106.
Pick: Giannis Over 29.5 Points
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Antetokounmpo played one full game against the Heat during the regular season, lighting them up for 35 points.
Overall, the MVP candidate is averaging 31.1 points per game this season. Projections see value in another high volume game from the Greek Freak Sunday.
For more Action Network coverage of the 2023 NBA season and playoffs, check out the latest NBA odds, as well as the public betting percentage breakdowns for all games.
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