The Golden State Warriors (33-35) and Boston Celtics (45-23) will square off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:00 p.m. ET from TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. The game will be broadcast live on ESPN.
The Celtics are 12.5-point favorites over the Warriors on the spread (Celtics -12.5), with the over/under set at 215.5 total points. Boston is a -600 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Golden State is +440 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Warriors vs. Celtics predictions and NBA picks for Wednesday, March 18.
Warriors vs Celtics Prediction, Pick
- Warriors vs Celtics pick: Gui Santos Over 14.5 Points (-108)
My Celtics vs. Warriors best bet is on Gui Santos to score over 14.5 points. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Warriors vs Celtics Odds
| Warriors Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+12.5 -120 | 215.5 -115o / -105u | +440 |
| Celtics Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-12.5 +100 | 215.5 -115o / -105u | -600 |
Warriors vs Celtics NBA Preview
The Warriors will visit the Celtics tonight, and I'll be targeting Gui Santos in this matchup.
I don’t love the matchup for him. Facing the Celtics is pretty tough — but to me, this line just feels light.
Santos has gone Over this number in 17 of his last 20 games. He is getting plenty of run, a ton of usage, and can basically do whatever he wants offensively.
Santos has also cleared this line in 100% of games without Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler, and Moses Moody. He’s 7-for-7 in those spots, averaging 17.6 points per game.
Some of those matchups have been easier; others tougher — but he’s still gone over this line against teams like the Rockets, Thunder, Knicks, and Timberwolves.
I just don’t really get this number — it’s too low.
Warriors vs Celtics Predictions, Betting Analysis
I understand the Warriors are 12.5-point underdogs against the Celtics tonight, so there’s some blowout potential — but I’m not totally convinced Steve Kerr really cares about that right now.
It seems like the Warriors just want to give Santos more looks regardless of the score. Even in games when they are getting blown out, Santos is still playing around 27 minutes per game.
So the minutes are there, and the usage is there. Let's back Santos to score 15+ points against Boston tonight.
Pick: Gui Santos Over 14.5 Points (-108)
Warriors vs Celtics Betting Trends
