Mavericks vs Lakers Prediction, Picks Tonight | Wednesday, Jan. 17

Mavericks vs Lakers Prediction, Picks Tonight | Wednesday, Jan. 17 article feature image
Credit:

Robert Gauthier/Los Angeles Times via Getty Images. Pictured: Los Angeles Lakers forward LeBron James (23).

Mavericks vs. Lakers Prediction, Picks on Wednesday, Jan. 17

Wednesday, Jan. 17
8:30 p.m.
ABC
Lakers -3

Here's everything you need to know about Mavericks vs. Lakers on Wednesday, Jan. 17 — our expert prediction and betting picks for today.

The Lakers will look to build on the most recent win and get back to .500, while the Mavericks look to sweep the season series with their Western Conference foes at Crypto.com arena.

Let's get to our Mavericks vs. Lakers prediction and pick.


Mavericks vs. Lakers Prediction

Pick: Lakers -3

Mavericks Betting Outlook

The Mavericks take on the Lakers without their MVP candidate Luka Doncic, who will miss his fourth consecutive game on Wednesday night.

Despite Doncic being out of the line up recently, the Mavericks are 2-1 in that span and are over preforming their injury riddled expectations. They are playing a 5-out system that prioritizes pace and space, which can easily be identified with Tim Hardaway Jr's last game, going 9-of-15 on 3-point attempts and scoring 41 points.

I believe in the old phrase that teams can "live and die by the 3," and I fear a regression to the mean on shooting splits vs a team with length and a raucous road crowd.

Before you bet Mavericks vs Lakers tonight, check ESPN BET's latest offers. Register with Action’s ESPN BET promo code TANBONUS.


Lakers Betting Outlook

The story of the Lakers struggling since the play-in tournament continues to trudge on. From a betting perspective, I love the buy low opportunity on a home team with the two best players on the court. The main reason for the Lakers' struggles has been inconsistent rotations due to missing key role players.

Now it is actually the Lakers who enter this contest with a health advantages and the ancillary pieces listed as available. Between Rui Hachimura, Jared Vanderbilt, Taurean Prince, and D'Angelo Russell, the Lakers finally have the scoring, shooting, and creation outside of LeBron James and Anthony Davis to win consistently.


Mavericks vs. Lakers Picks, Odds

Wednesday, Jan. 17
8:30 p.m. ET
ABC
Mavericks Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+4
-110
243.5
-112o / -108u
+142
Lakers Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-4
-110
243.5
-112o / -108u
-170
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute NBA odds here.

When betting the NBA, I classify numbers in ranges and directions based on how frequently they land as outcomes. Getting Lakers -3 is a strong number to obtain because the six most common outcomes in NBA games occur between 3 and 8, and getting the favorite under the 3 means all of those would be winning outcomes on the Lakers side. When lines move in this number range for NBA spreads, the changes are even more noteworthy.

I am seeing the opening line at -3 at all books, many start moving this to -3.5, and I expect this to close closer to -5 or more when James and Davis are finally confirmed as activate. Simply by beating the closing line and getting this number now, you will have a positive expected value wager.

Pick: Lakers -3

How would you rate this article?

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.

Sportsbook Promos
See All
Legal Online Sports Betting

bet365 Bonus Code TOPACTION: Pick $1K Insurance or $150 Bonus in 10 States for All Thursday Action, Including Oilers-Stars

Sean Treppedi
May 23, 2024 UTC