The Minnesota Timberwolves (28-19) and Dallas Mavericks (19-27) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:30 p.m. ET from the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. The game will broadcast live on FDSN.
The Timberwolves are 6.5-point favorites over the Mavericks on the spread (Timberwolves -6.5), with the over/under set at 227.5 total points. Minnesota is a -260 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Dallas is +210 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Timberwolves vs. Mavericks predictions and NBA picks for Wednesday, January 28.
Timberwolves vs Mavericks Prediction, Picks
- Timberwolves vs Mavericks pick: Mavericks +6.5 (-105)
My Timberwolves vs Mavericks best bet is on Dallas to cover the spread, with the best price currently available at bet365, but make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Timberwolves vs Mavericks Odds
| Timberwolves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -115 | 227.5 -110o / -110u | -260 |
| Mavericks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -105 | 227.5 -110o / -110u | +210 |
Timberwolves vs Mavericks NBA Preview
The NBA spread betting system titled "Home Rebounds Trends" is built on the idea that strong home teams with consistent rebounding form and stable scoring patterns tend to deliver reliable spread performances when the market prices them within a reasonable moneyline range, which is the case for the Mavericks in tonight's matchup against the Timberwolves.
By focusing on home teams with solid ATS results in their own building, a sustained run of strong offensive rebounding across five games, and a recent scoring trend that sits just above league norms without being inflated, the system targets teams like the Mavericks whose advantages are real rather than driven by short bursts of variance.
Limiting the sample to regular season games ensures predictable motivation and rotation patterns, while requiring the team to be at home captures the benefits of familiarity, rest structure, and crowd support.
Timberwolves vs Mavericks Predictions, Betting Analysis
When all the aforementioned factors align and the moneyline range stays between -130 and -250, the home team tends to be priced fairly and capable of controlling the game through rebounding and steady offense, creating a profitable long term position.
So, let's take the points with the Mavericks as home underdogs against the Wolves tonight.
Pick: Mavericks +6.5 (-105)
