NBA Betting System Picks: A Profitable Pre-All-Star Break Trend

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Patrick Smith/Getty Images. Pictured: Ja Morant

  • Many NBA teams will play their final game before the All-Star break on Wednesday.
  • Using Bet Labs, we found a profitable pre-All-Star Break trend bettors need to know.

The NBA All-Star break begins on Friday. Players have varying levels of motivation in the final games before the break as they look forward to time off, which makes handicapping games difficult.

Given the uncertainty, I used Bet Labs to analyze how favorites, home teams and betting against the public has performed before the All-Star break. The data below includes all games played on Wednesday and Thursday before the break, when most teams play their last game, since 2005.

NBA Against-the-Spread Results Before the All-Star Break

The results are mixed as favorites and home teams have winning records, but bettors would be breaking even at best wagering on them. To find an edge I looked at opponent data, specifically teams playing on a back-to-back.

The NBA has taken steps to reduce the number of games played in consecutive days as players are more likely to suffer injuries playing two games in two nights. But, with an 82-game schedule, teams are still forced into a handful of back-to-backs.

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