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NBA Fantasy Breakdown (Wed. 11/28): Pay Up for Anthony Davis

Nov 28, 2018 4:51 PM EST
  • The NBA Breakdown offers data-driven analysis for each day’s slate using the FantasyLabs Tools and metrics to highlight notable players.
  • To read full fantasy breakdowns for every NBA DFS slate this year, check out the FantasyLabs link below.

See the full version of this piece at FantasyLabs.

Wednesday features a 10-game slate starting at 7 p.m. ET.

Power Forward

Stud

The only things that have been able to stop Anthony Davis recently have been injuries and the Spurs. While we can never rule out a trip to the locker room for AD, everything else seems to line up perfectly for him on today’s slate. He owns an excellent matchup vs. the Wizards, evidenced by an Opponent Plus/Minus of +2.28, and has averaged a Plus/Minus of +5.80 as a home favorite this season (per the Trends tool).

This spot is also pretty unprecedented for Davis in terms of his raw scoring potential: The Pelicans’ current implied team total of 124 points dwarfs its previous career-high of 121.75. He’s hard to argue against on DraftKings, where his $11,400 salary comes with a Bargain Rating of 98%.

Value

Larry Nance Jr. will draw his second straight start for the Cavs, which makes him one of the strongest values of the day. He played 38.5 minutes in his last game and has averaged 1.05 DraftKings points per minute this season. He doesn’t have a particularly strong matchup vs. the Thunder, but his projected playing time far outweighs that concern at his current salary.

Fast Break

Montrezl Harrell’s salary continues to rise, but that hasn’t stopped him from posting an average Plus/Minus of +9.50 over his past 10 games on FanDuel. He’s in an excellent spot vs. the Phoenix Suns, evidenced by an Opponent Plus/Minus of +3.12, and the Clippers’ implied team total of 120.75 ranks third on the slate.

Pictured: Montrezl Harrell, Photo Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA Today Sports

Wilson Chandler has PF eligibility on DraftKings, where his $3,600 salary results in a Bargain Rating of 97%. He hasn’t been very productive this season, averaging just 0.59 DraftKings points per minute, but he has played at least 31 minutes in three straight games. He could be an interesting punt play in a #RevengeGame vs. the Knicks.

Credit:

Photo credit: Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Anthony Davis

Follow Matt LaMarca on Twitter
@MattLaMarca

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