NBA First Basket Prop Pick: Bet Derrick White, Al Horford in Celtics vs. Knicks (Feb. 27)

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Celtics vs.

Knicks

NBA First Basket Prop Pick: Derrick White & Al Horford

The New York Knicks host the Boston Celtics on Monday evening.

Mitchell Robinson (67% opening tip win rate) will face off against Robert Williams (100% win rate) on the opening tip-off. These centers have jumped against each other in three games over the past two seasons, with Williams winning two of the three tip-offs.

Jaylen Brown cashed the first basket in both games this season between these teams, but he's out tonight due to personal reasons. Julius Randle, meanwhile, hit the Knicks' first team field goal in each game.

With Brown out, Derrick White slides back into the starting lineup for the Celtics. White's production skyrocketed in February; he scored 20.4 points per game during the month compared to 10.3 points per game for the rest of the season.

Additionally, White's usage in early possessions in his last eight games started is the highest on the team. I define usage as taking one of the first three shots in the game for his team.

I'll take White and Al Horford to score first tonight in this game, as I think both of have some value given Williams' dominance on opening tip-offs.  I'm risking a bit less than my normal one unit, as these odds are slightly higher than we normally play.

The Picks

• Derrick White 1st FG +800 (Play to +600 · 0.45 Units)
• Al Horford 1st FG +1000 (Play to +800 · 0.3 Units)

Pick: Derrick White 1st FG +800

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Celtics vs. Knicks First Basket Prop Data

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