NBA First Basket Prop Pick: Bet Jevon Carter, Giannis Antetokounmpo in Bucks vs. Knicks (November 30)
John Fisher/Getty Images. Pictured: Jevon Carter #5 of the Milwaukee Bucks scores against the New York Knicks.
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Giannis Antetokounmpo | Jevon Carter
|Prop||Antetokounmpo +450 | Carter +1600|
|Time||7:30 p.m. ET|
||DraftKings | FanDuel|
The New York Knicks will host the Milwaukee Bucks Wednesday evening. Mitchell Robinson (66% opening-tip win rate this season) will likely be jumping at center against Brook Lopez (79% win rate). Lopez won the only tip between the two centers back on Oct. 28 in Milwaukee. I believe Lopez has 65% chance to win the opening tip tonight.
Milwaukee has scored first 63% of the time this season. In 19 games this season, Jevon Carter has scored the first team field goal for the Bucks five times, while Antetokounmpo and Jrue Holiday have each scored first team field goal four times. Antetokounmpo made a layup to cash a first basket earlier this season against the Knicks.
The Knicks score first 48% of the time this season. Julius Randle leads the way for New York having scored their first team field goal eight times this season. The downside to Randle, though, is that he has let the opposing team’s power forward to score the first field goal in seven games this season.
Carter’s odds have not been adjusted for his early possession success. I like the combination of Antetokounmpo (DraftKings) and Carter (FanDuel) to score first at Madison Square Garden.
The Pick: Antetokounmpo First FG +450 (0.7 units, play down to +325) | Carter First Basket +1600 (0.3 units, play down to +1100)
Bucks vs. Knicks First Basket Data
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