The NBA playoffs resume with a pair of critical Game 6s today, Friday, May 15 — and our NBA betting expert Joe Dellera has identified his top pick for for tonight's matchup between the San Antonio Spurs and Minnesota Timberwolves.
Continue below for our +2400 NBA player prop bet for Dylan Harper in Timberwolves vs. Spurs Game 6 tonight.
NBA Player Prop Bet for Timberwolves vs Spurs Game 6
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 9:30 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Spurs vs. Timberwolves Game 6 Player Prop Bet
Dylan Harper Over 14.5 Points & Rebounds (-125) / Double-Double (+2400)
I’m targeting Dylan Harper as the Spurs look to wrap this thing up in Game 6.
There's been a ton of chatter about San Antonio needing to give Harper more run, but even at his current baseline of 25 minutes per game—which is dead-on his season average—he is already smashing this line.
Harper has cleared this 14.5 Points + Rebounds (PR) total in four of the five games this series. The only "miss" was a Game 3 where he only saw 20 minutes of action and still put up 12 PR.
When I look at these combo bets, I’m looking for an opportunity to go way beyond the baseline while relying on a rock-solid floor. Harper gives you exactly that.
The specific angle I love here is the rebounding ceiling. His standard rebound line is sitting at 3.5, but the books are making you drink some serious juice on that. I’d much rather target the PR combo to get a better price because the rebounding log is much more appealing: 4, 7, 4, 7, and 10.
This isn't just a role player getting lucky; he’s been incredibly active. Last game, he hauled in 10 rebounds on 13 chances, and the game prior he snatched seven boards on nine chances. He is consistently putting himself in the right position.
Schematically, this also makes a ton of sense. As this series progresses, Rudy Gobert is becoming less and less playable. As Minnesota is forced to pivot or play Rudy in space, the interior is opening up more for guys like Harper to crash the glass and find easy scoring opportunities.
If you are on board with me in the PR market, you could also take a look at Harper to Record a Double-Double at +2400 (I've seen it as high as +2800). He's only recorded double-digit points and rebounds once in this series (Game 5), so we shouldn't go chasing this blindly, but there's value here.
Harper has shown he can rack up boards, and he’s also flashed assist upside. It’s a fun long-shot sprinkle on a guy who just dropped a 12-and-10 performance last time out.
Pick: Dylan Harper Over 14.5 Points & Rebounds (-125) / Double-Double (+2400)
