NBA Player Prop Bets for Sunday: 3 Picks, Including Blake Griffin, CJ McCollum (Nov. 14)

NBA Player Prop Bets for Sunday: 3 Picks, Including Blake Griffin, CJ McCollum (Nov. 14) article feature image
Credit:

Ashley Landis-Pool/Getty Images. Pictured: Portland Trail Blazers standout CJ McCollum.

  • The NBA rolls on with seven games today to select from for player props.
  • Our expert is focusing on players in the Nets-Thunder and Trail Blazers-Nuggets games.
  • See which two player Tyler Schmidt is fading and which one he is buying today.

We have three NBA juice props for you on this Sunday across the league. This could be a great way to make some money back if you had a bad start to your NFL day or just add on to your bankroll as you roll in the dough.

We’ll be using the Action Labs Player Prop tool to compare our NBA projections to the props posted at a variety of sportsbooks. Each bet is then graded on a scale from 1-10, with 10 being the best possible grade.

Below, I have laid out three prop bets that I’m playing, the case for each bet and the best books to find odds on those player props.

NBA Player Props & Picks

Blake Griffin — Under 8.5 Points (+108)

 Nets vs. Thunder Nets -9
Time | TV 7 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass
Best Book FanDuel

The first prop we like is Blake Griffin finishing under 8.5 points in the Brooklyn Nets’ game against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Make sure to get this prop at FanDuel, because the sports book currently has the best value.

There have only been two games this season where Griffin scored more than 8.5 points so far. It happened in back-to-back games about a week ago. We have Griffin projected for 7.8 points against the Thunder.

The 14-year veteran is averaging a career low in field goal percentage (31.7%) and points with 6.1 per game. Griffin is shooting an abysmal 18.8% from 3-point range, plus he’s only playing 22.7 minutes per contest. Over the last three outings, Griffin is averaging 3.3 point, while shooting 19% from the field and a combined 0 for 14 from behind the 3-point arc.

Griffin does benefit with Nic Claxton and Paul Millsap out of the lineup, but he still only has a 15.8% usage rate. The production runs purely through James Harden and Kevin Durant who combine for a usage rate of 59.5 percent. Harden is starting to cook, and Durant has been doing that season.

This young Oklahoma City team has won four consecutive games, putting together a 5-6 record overall. The Thunder has scored the third-least amount of points at 99.6 per game and rank second to last in Offensive Rating. The Nets are nine-point favorites, so there’s a strong chance at a blowout risk.

I wouldn’t mind betting under 9.5 points currently being offered at DraftKings, but I’d rather get the juice with 8.5 points.

Will Barton — Over 2.5 3-Pointers (+115)

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Nuggets -6.5
Time | TV 8 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass
Best Book DraftKings

Since Michael Porter Jr. has gone down, Will Barton has been one of the Denver Nuggets’ primary scorers. Obviously, the Nuggets still run through center Nikola Jokić, but Barton has definitely held his own as of late.

Despite only scoring five points in their last game on 2-of-11 shooting from the field, Barton is averaging 20 points per contest in their last three outings without Porter Jr. in the lineup. He is sidelined again against the PortlandTrail Blazers.

Over the last five games, Barton has really ramped up his outside shooting. He has attempted an average of 7.8 3-pointers per contest during that time. Barton has average 3.6 made 3-pointers per outing in the last five matchups despite having zero in their last affair.

The Trail Blazers have been very poor guarding the 3-point line so far this season. They rank tied for the fourth worst in the league guarding, allowing 13.6 3-pointers per game. Barton and the Nuggets should have no problem getting the shots they want.

This prop is probably the most risky of the three that I have provided, but it also has the most value. Play this wager at DraftKings for the best number.

The must-have app for NBA bettors

The best NBA betting scoreboard

Free picks from proven pros

Live win probabilities for your bets

CJ McCollum — Under 5.5 Assists (+110)

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Nuggets -6.5
Time | TV 8 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass
Best Book DraftKings

Last but not least, we have a CJ McCollum prop, as the Trail Blazers take on the Nuggets as 6.5-point underdogs.

Portland star Damian Lillard is sideline due to injury. He doesn’t miss many games, but in the four he did last season, McCollum averaged 25.3 points per contest, while playing an average of 37.5 minutes. He also averaged six assists in those outings, with six or more assists in three of four games. McCollum had a usage rate of 33.8% without Lillard.

I need to talk about the emergence of Anfernee Simons, who in my opinion will cut into McCollum’s usage rate and production, despite Lillard being out. Simons is averaging a career high in points (11.9), minutes (22.6) and field-goal attempts (10.4) per game. He should see a major boost in playing time and production in this matchup.

On the season, McCollum is averaging 4.3 assists per game. For his career, he has never averaged more than 4.7 assists per contest. I feel he will lean more on his scoring to try and keep the Trail Blazers in this meeting, as they are underdogs in Denver where the Nuggets are historically very good.

The matchup against Denver is also not ideal. The team ranks second in Defensive Rating, allowing the least amount of points at 98.3 per game. The Nuggets are 6-1 at home so far, holding every opponent under 100 points.

Without Lillard, I’m quite concerned this game gets away from the Trail Blazers. The best value on this prop is on DraftKings and will play it there.

How would you rate this article?