Bucks vs. Nets NBA Player Prop & Pick: Fade Ben Simmons Against Stout Defenders (December 23)

Bucks vs. Nets NBA Player Prop & Pick: Fade Ben Simmons Against Stout Defenders (December 23) article feature image

Nathaniel S. Butler/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 of the Milwaukee Bucks and Ben Simmons #10 of the Brooklyn Nets.

  • The Milwaukee Bucks and Brooklyn Nets will clash at Barclays Center in a meeting between two Eastern Conference elites.
  • PropBetGuy sees a great value player prop in this matchup centered around Nets forward Ben Simmons.
  • He explains below why he's betting against Simmons in tonight's matchup.

PropBetGuy will break down some of his favorite NBA plays of the day, and will track all his bets in The Action Network app.

NBA Player Prop & Pick

Ben Simmons, 22.5 PTS + REB + AST

OddsSimmons Under 22.5 PRA
Time7:30 p.m. ET
Books AvailableFanDuel

Tonight, I’m looking to fade one of the most divisive players in the NBA, Ben Simmons, against the stout defense of the Milwaukee Bucks.

Simmons is averaging 20.8 Points + Rebounds + Assists in 22 games this season, staying under this line in seven games. He’s bounced in and out of the starting lineup, but regardless of his role, this line reads as too high for a player who relies on all three stat categories to produce.

The LSU product garners almost all of his scoring production in the paint – 77 of his 82 made baskets are within 10 feet of the basket. The Bucks allow the fewest made baskets per game within that range, due to the defensive prowess and length of their front court.

The Bucks also allow the second fewest assists per game (the recurring theme here is that this defense is very good). On the rebounding front, Simmons' chances should be limited, as he’ll be focused on his primary defensive assignment, Giannis Antetokounmpo.

Against the Bucks, Kevin Durant typically looks to take over (averaging 46.3 PRA against Milwaukee in his tenure as a Net). Kyrie Irving also looms, as do a healthy complement of Nets role players.

Tonight, I have Simmons projected at 19 PRA, and would play this line down to under 21.5.

Pick: Simmons under 22.5 PTS + REB + AST (+100) — Play to 21.5 PRA

Get all of PropBetGuy's bets instantly in The Action Network app.

How would you rate this article?

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.

Sportsbook Promos
See All
Legal Online Sports Betting

10 Sports Betting Promos to Claim for Any Euro 2024 Match Saturday at Fanatics, bet365 & More

Daniel Preciado
Jun 22, 2024 UTC