NBA Player Props Today: Expert Picks for Kevin Durant, Luka Doncic, Chris Paul (March 11)

NBA Player Props Today: Expert Picks for Kevin Durant, Luka Doncic, Chris Paul (March 11) article feature image
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Tim Heitman/Getty Images. Pictured: Luka Doncic

The Suns have the toughest remaining schedule in the league and tonight they begin a road trip out East in Cleveland. The good news is they are expected to have their Big 3 available for just the 24th time this season. Tonight, it may be Kevin Durant leading the way.

The Mavericks are also on the road tonight in Chicago, where they will be looking for their third straight win and second on the road. That is not the only streak Luka Doncic will be looking to keep alive as he will going for his seventh-consecutive triple-double.

On Saturday, the Spurs took the first of their home-and-home set against the Warriors. However, Chris Paul stepped up and had nine assists, starting in place of Stephen Curry. He may be in for a double-double in San Antonio tonight.

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Monday, Mar 11
7:30 p.m. ET
League Pass
Kevin Durant Over 25.5 Points (-120)

Kevin Durant dropped 45 points in Saturday night's loss to the Celtics. It was the fourth time in five games that Durant had scored 30 points, including the third straight with 35 points. Durant stepped up with Devin Booker sidelined for the last four games. Booker is probable to return tonight, but that just means we are getting this line at a discount.

Durant is averaging 28.3 points per game this season, but still 27.1 points per game with Booker in the lineup. He has scored 26 points in 27-of-43 (63%) games with Booker in the lineup.

In typical Durant-fashion, he has done so on incredible efficiency. He is shooting nearly 53% from the field, 42.3% on 3s, and 85.4% from the free throw line on 6.5 attempts. If Durant finishes the season on an extended streak at the foul line, he may be in line for yet another 50-40-90 season.

With Evan Mobley sidelined, the Cavaliers do not have a great defensive matchup to contain Durant. He has a six-inch height advantage on Isaac Okoro, who is more likely to guard one of Booker or Bradley Beal. Additionally, Durant will have a rest advantage on whoever is guarding him as the Cavaliers played last night, giving up 120 points and 18 3s to Brooklyn.

With one day of rest, Durant is averaging 29.8 points and he has hit this line in 25-of-32 (78%) games this season. Tonight, we only need 26 to get over this line. He is also +200 for 30 points and +550 for 35 points on FanDuel tonight.

Pick: Kevin Durant Over 25.5 Points (-120 at FanDuel)

Monday, Mar 11
8 p.m. ET
League Pass
Luka Doncic to Record a Triple-Double (+200)

Luka Doncic comes into tonight's game having pulled down nine rebounds in nine of his last 10 games. He is averaging 9.8 rebounds in that span. He also has had 10 assists or more in eight of his last 10 games, averaging 10.8 assists over that stretch. Tonight, he will be in search of his seventh-consecutive triple-double. However, he may have to work for this one.

The Bulls have a pair of strong rebounders down low in Nikola Vucevic and Andre Drummond. They are 16th in rebounds allowed this season, but are allowing the fewest rebounds to point guards over the last 15 games.

They have been more generous when it comes to assists, ranking 21st in assists allowed for the season and 18th in assists allowed to point guards over their last 15 games.

By his standards, Doncic had a pedestrian game in the first meeting with the Bulls, finishing with 18 points, five rebounds and seven assists. However, he does have three triple-doubles in nine career games against the Bulls.

The Bulls just let James Harden get a triple-double on Saturday afternoon. Tonight will also be their first game back home after a long road trip, which could mean they are sleepwalking early on.

The safer version of this play is Doncic's rebounds + assists line, which is 19.5 at -125 odds on FanDuel. However, with the streak Doncic is on right now, it is hard not back him at these odds, which get even more favorable if you add his points.

If you take Doncic for 30 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists in an same-game parlay, it is +272 and +418 with 35 points on FanDuel. Doncic has six straight triple-doubles with 30 points and five with 35 points.

Pick: Luka Doncic to Record a Triple-Double (+200 at FanDuel)

Monday, Mar 11
8 p.m. ET
NBA TV
Chris Paul Over 8.5 Assists (+100)

Chris Paul enters tonight's game having dished out nine assists in two of his last three games. In two games against the Spurs this season, Paul has had 10 and nine assists.

The Spurs are 24th in assists allowed per game this season. They are also 27th in 3-point defense. That could set Paul up to get several assists on 3s tonight, particularly if they take a few more with Victor Wembyanama back in the paint tonight.

One player who will not be knocking down any 3s for the Warriors tonight is star Stephen Curry, who is out again with an ankle injury. However, that puts Paul in the starting lineup tonight. Paul played 29 minutes on Saturday and may be playing a few more tonight as the Warriors cannot afford another loss to the Spurs.

In Saturday's game, the Warriors started slow, but scored 70 points in the second half. Paul also averaged 15.5 potential assists opportunities in the previous two games against the Bucks and Bulls. At that number, Paul would have to convert 58% of them to hit this line, but also offers value if he can crack double-digits.

Tonight, Paul is +170 for 10 assists, +280 for a double-double, and +550 for 12 assists on FanDuel.

Pick: Chris Paul Over 8.5 Assists (+100 at FanDuel)

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