Saturday’s Best NBA Player Props: Betting Marvin Bagley Rebounds, More
Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Marvin Bagley
- Saturday's 11-game NBA slate features three player prop bets offering value.
- This piece will focus on Bulls PF/C Bobby Portis, Rockets G Gerald Green, and Kings PF Marvin Bagley
Saturday’s best NBA player props focus on three of the slate’s 11 games:
- Chicago Bulls at Charlotte Hornets: 7 p.m. ET on ESPN
- Houston Rockets at Utah Jazz: 9 p.m. ET
- Philadelphia 76ers at Sacramento Kings: 10 p.m. ET
As a reminder, you can dig deeper on these and many other prop bets by using our FantasyLabs NBA Player Props Tool. It leverages our projections against five of the most popular online sportsbooks and grades each prop on a scale of one to 10.
Bulls PF/C Bobby Portis
The Pick: Over 13.5 points (-150)
Portis figures to see a boost in value with Wendell Carter Jr. out of the lineup, who could miss the remainder of the season after undergoing thumb surgery.
Portis is currently projected for 33.5 minutes in the FantasyLabs NBA Models, and he’s averaged a stout 20.1 points per 36 minutes this season.
Plus, he’s coming off a game where he scored 26 points and posted a usage rate of 43.0%, and he has a decent matchup vs. the Charlotte Hornets.
This prop is already juiced pretty high, but it still offers decent value at the current number. I would play it up to -175.
Rockets G Gerald Green
The Pick: Under 13.5 points (-130)
Green will likely see a few additional minutes today with Chris Paul ruled out for rest purposes, but this prop still seems high.
While Green did have a stretch where he scored at least 14 points in four straight games, that was before Kenneth Faried became a major factor in their rotation.
Green hasn’t been needed for nearly the same amount of minutes since then, and he’s scored seven points or fewer in each of his past five contests.
The Rockets are also in a difficult spot for scoring vs. the Jazz, who rank fifth in the league in defensive efficiency.
The under has a Bet Quality of 10 in the Player Prop tool, and I’d play it up to -160.
Kings PF Marvin Bagley
The Pick: Over seven rebounds (-114)
Bagley hasn’t seen the most consistent playing time as a rookie, but he’s started to play more over his past few games.
He’s logged in least 28 minutes in three of his past four contests, and Bagley has pulled down at least nine rebounds in all of them. He’s averaged 6.6 rebounds in just 23.6 minutes per game this season, so this line feels low if he’s going to continue to see increased playing time.
I don’t understand why the Kings haven’t played Bagley more this season, but we can use that to our advantage today. I like the over up to -140.