NBA Sharp Report: Lakers-Warriors Among 3 Saturday Games Drawing Smart Money
Richard Mackson-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Klay Thompson
- Sharp action is hitting three games on tonight's NBA slate, including Lakers-Warriors (8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN).
- Sports Insights' Bet Signals reveal which way the smart money is going.
Most of Saturday’s betting action will undoubtedly land on the massive college slate, but that doesn’t mean there isn’t value to be found in the NBA tonight.
Sharp bettors have found some on three games in particular, including Lakers-Warriors (8:30 p.m. ET, ABC).
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Brooklyn Nets @ Orlando Magic
7 p.m. ET | YES
Sharp angle: Magic (moved from -1 to -2.5)
The Nets opened as 1-point dogs, and most bettors were happy to take the free point on the team with the better record.
Not the sharps, though.
Wiseguys have caused oddsmakers to move Orlando to -2.5 despite only 37% of bettors taking the Magic as of writing (see live data here).
Sports Insights’ Bet Signals have revealed four instances of sharp money hitting the home team, and the Magic have generated a much higher percentage of dollars (72%) than bets, indicating that bigger bettors — the ones more likely to be sharps — are laying the points, not taking them.
Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors
8:30 p.m. ET | ABC
Sharp angle: Warriors (moved from -9.5 to -11.5)
Generally, sharp action tends to land opposite the popular side. In tonight’s Lakers-Warriors game, however, that hasn’t been the case.
Sixty-three percent of bettors are taking the Warriors at home tonight, but those bettors have generated 83% of actual money being wagered, once again revealing that bigger, probably sharper bettors are laying the points.
Two Bet Signals on Golden State have confirmed that indication, although it’s worth noting that both came at a notably smaller numbers (-9 and -10).
Philadelphia 76ers @ Sacramento Kings
10:30 p.m. ET | NBCS-PH+
Sharp angles: Kings (moved from +3.5 to +3), Under (moved from 234.5 to 234)
One bet wasn’t enough for sharps on tonight’s final matchup.
Per our Bet Signals, sharps have hit the Kings five times since opening, causing this line to fall from +3.5 to +3 despite only 25% of bets on Sacramento. Again, it’s worth noting that all five signals came at a number higher than what’s currently available (+3.5).
Similarly, the under has drawn five signals which has brought this line back down after an initial rise to around 236.
Only 35% of bets on this total have hit the under, but with those accounting for 44% of actual money — along with the Bet Signals — oddsmakers have had no choice but to their sharper customers.