NBA Sharp Betting Picks (Jan. 14): Pros Moving Over/Unders in Knicks vs. Bucks, Rockets vs. Grizzlies

NBA Sharp Betting Picks (Jan. 14): Pros Moving Over/Unders in Knicks vs. Bucks, Rockets vs. Grizzlies article feature image
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Stacy Revere/Getty Images. Pictured: Giannis Antetokounmpo and Taj Gibson

The post-National Championship Game NBA slate might be a bit of a letdown for casual bettors looking for high-profile matchups. Six games will tip off tonight, and while none have been particularly attractive to the betting masses, a couple have drawn some significant action from sharp bettors.

Pros have been hitting over/unders for two 8 p.m. ET games tonight: Knicks-Bucks and Rockets-Grizzlies.


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Knicks vs. Bucks

8 p.m. ET

One of two expected blowouts on tonight’s slate, this game opened with the Bucks anywhere from 16- to 17.5-point favorites, and almost all of the market is still within that range.

But while the spread hasn’t seen a significant line move, the total has, and it’s mostly been thanks to sharp action.

Opening at 227, this number was on the higher side of the slate already. Perhaps that’s why it’s one of only two games to draw a majority of bettors to the under. Despite the under’s 55% backing, the total has jumped up by a basket to 229.

Sports Insights’ Bet Signals have confirmed the movement to be a result of professional action, which is probably what would be expected given that it’s come in the opposite direction of the popular side.

Two signals — indications of market activity as a result of sharp action — have hit the over since opening.

Sharp angle: Over (moved from 227 to 229)

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Rockets vs. Grizzlies

8 p.m. ET

As for the other game with a majority under backing, that would be the one with the highest total on the slate.

The earliest openers for this game set the number around 236, but by the time most books joined the party, the consensus had already been pushed to 238. Even that wasn’t high enough according to sharps, however.

At the time of writing, the 47% of bettors on the over have accounted for 85% of actual money, and while that figure could come down a bit as tip-off approaches, it does indicate how bigger bettors — the ones more likely to be sharps — are playing this total.

Two more SI Bet Signals have hit the over, and while in this case there was a bit of pushback when the line first reached 239.5, it was quickly erased by the second Bet Signal on the over at 239.

And based on the current line of 240.5, it’s safe to say that the overwhelming sharp side has been the over.

Sharp angle: Over (moved from 238 to 240.5)

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