NBA Sharp Betting Picks (March 4): Thunder vs. Pistons, Jazz vs. Knicks Drawing Pro Action
Elsa/Getty Images. Pictured: RJ Barrett
A nine-game NBA slate has given bettors plenty to choose from Wednesday night, which means there’s also a good chance of some sharp action hitting the board.
Earlier this morning, sharps were all over tonight’s Pacers-Bucks matchup, and as of the early afternoon they’ve made a couple more moves on Thunder vs. Pistons and Jazz vs. Knicks, hitting each in a similar way.
Let’s take a look.
Thunder vs. Pistons
7 p.m. ET
The total in this game has been the biggest mover on the entire slate tonight, and it’s pretty clear that sharps have been the driving force.
The number has fallen from 215 to 210.5 at FanDuel, and while it’s true that the under is getting the majority of bets, a 57% backing is nowhere near a big enough backing cause such a drastic line fall.
That is, of course, unless sharps are in the mix.
Three Sports Insights Bet Signals, which track and record instances of sharp action hitting the market in real time, have been triggered on the under, most recently at 212. And the 57% of under bettors have generated 79% of actual money, further pointing toward the under being the sharper side (since sharps are more likely to be the ones making bigger bets).
As a result, oddsmakers have had no choice but to readjust.
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 215 to 210.5) [Bet now at FanDuel. NJ, PA, IN and WV only.]
Jazz vs. Knicks
7:30 p.m. ET
A slight similar story is unfolding in New York, though in this case the line movement has been less drastic. Still, the drop from 220 to 218.5 is noteworthy as this time it’s come against the public side.
Only 37% of bettors have taken this under, and while they’ve accounted for a slightly higher percentage of money (40%), oddsmakers still should have no monetary reason to drop the line. Instead, they’re once again reacting to the bets from their more respected customers.
Three more SI Bet Signals — all at 220 — have have the under, confirming pros to behind the 1.5-point line move.
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 220 to 218.5) [Bet now at FanDuel. NJ, PA, IN and WV only.]