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NBA Odds, Picks, Predictions: Nets vs. Trail Blazers Spread Has Value, Per Betting Model Projections

NBA Odds, Picks, Predictions: Nets vs. Trail Blazers Spread Has Value, Per Betting Model Projections article feature image
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Nathaniel S. Butler/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Kevin Durant #7 of the Brooklyn Nets.

  • Monday's Nets-Blazers spread has come down after news that James Harden is out for Brooklyn.
  • Our model projections indicate value on Portland if you can still get it at 10 or better.
  • Continue reading for a full breakdown of the matchup and why our system favors the Blazers.

Editor’s Note: James Harden has been ruled out for the Brooklyn Nets with a hyperextended knee. For real-time injury updates, check out our FantasyLabs NBA news page

Nets vs. Trail Blazers Odds

Nets Odds -8.5
Trail Blazers Odds +8.5
Over/Under 224
Time 10:10 p.m. ET
TV NBA League Pass, YES Network
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute NBA odds here.

The Brooklyn Nets will play their second game since New York launched mobile sports gambling on Saturday — a road matchup with the Portland Trail Blazers on the second leg of a back-to-back.

The Nets failed to cover against the Spurs on Sunday as roughly 10-point favorites, but won in overtime by two. For this contest against the Trail Blazers, they are, once again, massive favorites.

Here’s how sharp bettors and our Models see things shaping up.

Nets vs. Trail Blazers Sharp, Model Projection Pick

Odds and data are as of Monday afternoon.

The Action Network’s tracking data has indicated sharp action on the Trail Blazers’ spread for this contest.

In addition, The Action Network’s betting models indicate that Portland should be just 6.6-point underdogs for this contest — not +9.5. That means there’s a roughly 6% betting edge here. The more edge you accumulate over the course of your betting portfolio, the more longterm value you’ll generate.

Our models are player-level, so it factors in all injuries and COVID-related absences across the league that have made handicapping NBA games so tricky in the last month or so.

So, for instance, the models have already factored in the fact that Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum will miss this contest for the Blazers. The Nets, meanwhile, don’t have any major pieces missing and should have Kyrie Irving available for this matchup on the road.

The wise guys have hammered this line down from its open at Trail Blazers +10.5 to its market-worst price of Blazers +8.5. That means big money bets have swayed the line in Portland’s favor.

The best price on the market as of Monday morning is with DraftKings at Portland +10.

Sharp Betting Pick: Trail Blazers +10 or better.

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