Raptors vs. Celtics PRO Report Pick: Sharp Action, Big Bets, Betting Systems Align on Boston (Saturday, Sept. 5)
David Sherman/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Jayson Tatum and Kyle Lowry
Quite the sports day we have on our hands Saturday. Of course, that also means it’s quite the sports betting day, so you know our brand new PRO Report is lighting up with value across all the major leagues in action today.
Among them? The NBA Playoffs. Specifically, this evening’s Game 4 between the Raptors and Celtics.
Let’s take a look at how our new feature is finding value on the spread.
Raptors vs. Celtics PRO Report
PRO Report angle: Celtics
Shortly after their gut-wrenching Game 3 loss, the Celtics opened as two-point underdogs for tonight’s Game 4. And most bettors have been happy to take the points with the team still up 2-1 in the series. Sixty-seven percent of spread bets, to be exact, have landed on Boston, and as it turns out, sharps are among those placing them.
Six Sports Insights Bet Signals — which track and record instances of market movement caused by sharp action — have been triggered on the Celtics, helping explain why Boston has gone from a two-point dog to a one-point favorite
While an individual big bet can certainly come from any bettor, sharps are far more likely to be the heavy spenders over a large sample. As such, a major discrepancy between the percentage of bets and percentage of money hitting a side serves as another indication of professional action.
In this case, the 67% majority behind the Celtics has accounted for 95% of actual money hitting this spread.
As it turns out, that bet-vs.-money discrepancy also lands Boston in one of our PRO betting systems.
In our database (since 2015), playoff favorites receiving a higher percentage of money than bets have gone 119-68-2, winning 47.2 units for a 25.3% return on investment.