Shai Gilgeous-Alexander NBA Player Props: Model Picks For Thunder vs Pelicans

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander NBA Player Props: Model Picks For Thunder vs Pelicans article feature image
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Juan Ocampo/Getty Images. Pictured: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 of the Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will take the court in the NBA's play-in tournament on Wednesday evening when the Thunder take on the Pelicans for the right to play the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday.

Oklahoma City is the 10th seed in the Western Conference while the Pelicans come in as the ninth seed, and thus New Orleans comes in with home court advantage. However, Zion Williamson remains out for the game.

The Action Labs model projections are seeing value on some prop selections related to this game for SGA. Read on to see where we're projecting value.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Player Props, Picks

*Odds and projections as of Wednesday morning

According to our NBA player prop picks, the most valuable way to bet on Gilgeous-Alexander in this game is to fade him.

As of the time of writing, we project the Thunder guard for 31.0 points, 5.1 rebounds and 4.9 assists. Considering these numbers, the biggest edge in the Action Labs table is on the under of SGA's points + rebounds + assists total, which is listed at 43.5

The prop, which we estimate at a projected 41.0 rather than the listed number of 43.5, is given a 7/10 rating based on the -115 price listed at BetMGM.

We've already seen two game totals go under in the play-in tournament so far, so this is another way to try to piggyback on that idea.

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Nick Sterling
Jun 22, 2024 UTC