Tuesday NBA First Basket Prop Picks: Dillon Brooks, Desmond Bane Have Value for Grizzlies
A.J. Mast/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Dillon Brooks #24 of the Memphis Grizzlies.
NBA First Basket will break down some of his favorite NBA plays of the day here, and will track all his bets in The Action Network app.
Dillon Brooks & Desmond Bane
|Props||Dillon Brooks +490; Desmond Bane & Memphis win +650|
|Matchup||Grizzlies vs. T’Wolves|
|Time||8:30 p.m. ET|
The Timberwolves take on the Grizzlies on Tuesday night in what feels like a must-win for Memphis. Steven Adams has won 79% of all opening tip-offs this year and has won all four tips versus Karl-Anthony Towns (won 51% of opening-tips this year).
The Grizzlies score first 59% of the time (third in the league) but score first 72% of the time when they win the opening tip-off.
Minnesota gives up first baskets to opposing centers in 31% of games. We could look at Steven Adams for Memphis, but it is tough to trust a guy averaging fewer than 4.0 points a game against Minnesota this year.
Adams didn’t even attempt a shot in Game 1 of the series.
It makes more sense to focus on Dillon Brooks. He only started 32 games this season, but he has scored the first team field goal for Memphis 47% of the time and cashed the first game field goal 38% of the time.
Both of those percentages are No. 1 in the league for players starting more than 30 games this season.
I’m also throwing a small play on a first basket / winner parlay on Desmond Bane and Memphis.
- Dillon Brooks +490, risk .75 units (FanDuel)
- Desmond Bane and Grizzlies to win parlay +650, risk .25 units (FanDuel)
Grizzlies-T’Wolves First Basket Data
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