Warriors vs. Rockets Betting Odds, Trends: An Early Look at the Western Conference Semis

Warriors vs. Rockets Betting Odds, Trends: An Early Look at the Western Conference Semis article feature image

Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Stephen Curry and James Harden

  • The Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors will meet in the 2019 Western Conference Semifinals.
  • The Warriors are listed as a favorite to win the series at -260 against the Rockets (+210).
  • The Warriors and Rockets have met three previous times in the playoffs in the last four seasons, with the Warriors winning all three series.

The Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets will meet again in the NBA Playoffs. This time, it will be earlier than most thought as they face off in the Western Conference Semifinals.

The Rockets will have the slight rest advantage in the series, as Houston closed out the Jazz in five games on Wednesday night, while the Warriors needed six games against the Clippers.

Game 1 of their upcoming showdown is scheduled for Sunday, April 28 at 3:30 p.m. ET. Here is the rest of their series schedule and odds:

Warriors vs. Rockets Betting Odds

  • Warriors -260
  • Rockets +210

A note one the odds above: -260 means that a $260 wager would profit $100, while +210 odds would translate to a $210 profit on a $100 wager.

Warriors vs. Rockets Schedule

Game 1: Sunday, April 28 (Warriors -6.5 vs. Rockets)
Game 2: Tuesday, April 30
Game 3: Saturday, May 4
Game 4: Monday, May 6
Game 5: Wednesday, May 8
Game 6: Friday, May 10
Game 7: Sunday, May 12

Warriors vs. Rockets Head-to-Head Playoff History

The Warriors and Rockets have faced off in the playoffs three times prior to this year’s showdown, with Golden State coming out on top in all three series. Here were the series prices on those matchups:

2018: Warriors -200 | Rockets +170
2016: Warriors: -10,000 | Rockets: +4000
2015: Warriors: -880 | Rockets: +665

In 2018, the odds suggested that the Rockets had a 37.0% chance to pull an upset; this year, the implied probability is 30.9% for Houston to take down the champs.

Warriors vs. Rockets Full Game Betting Trends

Under Steve Kerr, the Warriors are 21-14 (60%) against-the-spread (ATS) when facing the Rockets. They are Kerr’s most-profitable opponent ATS among all NBA teams.

In their 35 total meetings since the 2014-15 season, the road team is actually 20-15 ATS, covering the spread by 2.1 points per game. During their 17 total playoff meetings, however, the home team is 10-7 ATS.

Over the past two seasons, the Warriors are 2-5 ATS vs. the Rockets in the regular season and 4-3 ATS in the playoffs. In those 24 total games, the Warriors have been favored in 10-of-14 games, going 4-6 ATS.

Warriors vs. Rockets Over/Under Betting Trends

In 35 meetings between the Warriors and Rockets in the Steve Kerr era, the under is 24-11 (68.6%), including 14-3 (82.4%) in the playoffs, going under the total by 12.9 points per game. When the game has been played Oracle Arena in the playoffs, the under is 8-1 (88.9%), going under the total by 18.5 points per game.

Over the past two seasons, the average over/under in the 14 games between the Warriors and Rockets has been 224.8. In those 14 games, both teams have averaged a combined 217.7 points per game. In that span, the highest total was 237.5 and the lowest was at 208.5.

Warriors vs. Rockets Halftime Betting Trends

During the regular season, the Warriors have struggled against the first- and second-half spread against the Rockets, going 2-5 ATS over the last two seasons. In the playoffs, though, the Warriors are 4-3 against the first- and second-half spread against the Rockets.

When it comes to the second-half moneyline in the playoffs, the Warriors could hold a distinct advantage over the Rockets in this series given these coaches’ historical marks…

  • Steve Kerr: 60-20-6 (+$1,175 on $100 per bet)
  • Mike D’Antoni: 27-40-1 (-$1,626)

The Warriors have played 17 Game 1s under Steve Kerr; they are 12-5 (70.6%) against the first-half spread in those games, covering by 2.7 points per game.

Over the past two seasons, the Warriors are 2-5 ATS for the full game, first half and second half against the Rockets.

Here’s the Warriors’ second-half ATS performance vs. the Rockets based on their first-half performance:

  • Warriors losing at half: 3-5 ATS
  • Warriors winning at half: 2-2 ATS
  • Tied at half: 1-1 ATS

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