The Memphis Tigers take on the Purdue Boilermakers in Nassau, Bahamas, as part of the Baha Mar Championship. Tip-off is set for 6 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network.
Purdue is favored by -16.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -2200. The total is set at 159 points.
Here’s my Memphis vs. Purdue predictions and college basketball picks for November 20, 2025.
Memphis vs Purdue Prediction
My Pick: Purdue -14.5 or Better
My Memphis vs Purdue best bet is on the Boilermakers to cover the spread. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Memphis vs. Purdue Odds
| Memphis Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+16.5 -110 | 159 -110o / -110u | +1100 |
| Purdue Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-16.5 -110 | 159 -110o / -110u | -2200 |
- Memphis vs Purdue spread: Purdue -16.5
- Memphis vs Purdue over/under: 159.5 points
- Memphis vs Purdue moneyline: Memphis +1100, Purdue -2200
Memphis vs Purdue College Basketball Betting Preview
As you assemble the groceries for Thanksgiving, many of college basketball's premier programs head to tropical locales for multi-team events. Purdue and Memphis will meet at the Baha Mar Championship in the Bahamas, with radically different starts to their seasons and roster-building strategies this summer.
The Boilermakers are big favorites, for good reason, against an unproven Memphis squad.
Memphis Basketball
While Purdue is a team built on continuity, Memphis is decidedly not. Purdue ranks in the top 10 nationally in percentage of minutes returning from last year, per KenPom. Memphis ranks 345th in that metric, a 20-way tie for last among the teams with exactly zero returnees from last season.
Hilariously, one player on the team does have experience playing for Memphis. Head coach Penny Hardaway's son Ashton began his career as a Tiger two years ago and then left and played one season on the West Coast at Saint Mary's. Now he's back with dear old Dad as a junior.
The result of roster chaos is, well, chaos. Memphis is 1-2 on the young season. A close road loss at nearby Ole Miss is defensible. A drubbing at home by a UNLV team with a new head coach and an almost entirely new roster is far more troublesome.
That game was an 80-possession track meet, where the Tigers crumbled. Dug McDaniel, a senior with experience at Kansas State and Michigan, should be the key player for Memphis this season. In that game, he shot 1-for-10 from the field and had six of Memphis' 18 turnovers.
This team, like many at Memphis before, has talent, but it'll take some time to gel. If it doesn't, the seat under Hardaway may start to get warm.
Purdue Basketball
This Purdue team is an anomaly in the 2025 landscape in college basketball. Matt Painter brought back three seniors from last season's team, the Boilermakers' top three players in minutes played, assists dished and points scored.
That trio, Braden Smith, Fletcher Loyer and Trey Kaufman-Renn, creates a foundation for Painter. He then added key pieces — both experienced producers from the portal and intriguing freshman — to the roster to create another top five team.
Everything in West Lafayette starts with Smith, a do-everything point guard who led the nation in assists per game last season. He paces a methodical Purdue attack that ranked outside the top 300 in tempo both last season and so far in 2025-26.
Smith's patience is designed to maximize each trip down the court, with his work as a pick and roll ball-handler creating so much of Purdue's offensive output.
Kaufman-Renn is an excellent roll man, with Loyer lurking as the shooter and secondary creator on the wing.
One key addition this season is Oscar Cluff, previously at Washington State and South Dakota State, where he led the Summit League in rebounding.
Alongside Kaufmann-Renn, Cluff adds a size element that any team struggles to match, especially when adding in 7-foo-4 sophomore Daniel Jacobsen. Yes, Purdue is once again massive in the paint, a perfect paring for Smith's creativity with the ball.
The result is the nation's top offense by efficiency metrics so far this season.
If anything is lacking, it's an aggressiveness in attacking the rim, with Purdue's free throw rate lacking. When you finish and shoot like the Boilers, getting to the line can be an afterthought.
Memphis vs. Purdue Betting Analysis
Early in the season, my eyes go to three areas: coaching, continuity and any early indications from the small sampling of games we've already seen.
In this case, we have Painter with a heavy advantage over Hardaway, a Purdue team that plays well together with tons of learned experience and a Memphis team learning on the fly (and struggling to do so).
All of these notions are built into the line as is, but I'm certainly comfortable laying the points and expecting a seasoned Purdue team to take care of business.
However, this line opened at -14.5 and has shot up to -16.5 (at the time of writing) at some books. I'm comfortable taking this at -14.5 or better — and even could be talked into -15.5. Anything higher, though, and it's a stay away for me.
My Pick: Purdue -14.5 or Better
