The Washington Wizards secured the first pick in the 2026 NBA Draft. Will their pick be a freshman phenom?
Many of the talented college basketball prospects available have only spent a single year in college, which has sparked discussions among fans and NBA analysts — and generated trading activity on Kalshi.
So, let's dive into the market. How many freshmen will be selected in the top 10 of the upcoming NBA Draft?
NBA Draft: How Many Freshmen Will Be Drafted in the Top 10?
Following an NCAAB season with memorable performances by many talented freshmen, the first three picks will likely all be players with just one year of college experience.
However, there are likely to be other freshmen selected early, which is the whole point of this Kalshi market.
If you want to get in on the action, sign up at Kalshi to Trade $10, Get $10!
Number of NCAAB Freshmen Kalshi Users Are Trading On
Available on Kalshi, a popular prediction-market app, here's a list of what people are predicting for the following prompt:
Freshmen Drafted in the Top 10 (via Kalshi)
7+ freshmen drafted – 98%
8+ freshmen drafted – 85%
9+ freshmen drafted – 61%
10 freshmen drafted – 72%
These percentages are likely to change as new Kalshi users trade on this particular market.
Top College Freshmen NBA Draft Prospects
AJ Dybantsa (SF, BYU): The projected No. 1 overall pick. A 6'9" generational scorer who led the nation in points per game (25.5) is widely viewed as a franchise-altering wing.
Darryn Peterson (G, Kansas): A dynamic 6'6" combo guard with elite shot-creation skills. Despite some mid-season health issues, he remains the top guard prospect due to his "pro-ready" physicality.
Cameron Boozer (PF, Duke): The son of Carlos Boozer and the reigning National Player of the Year. He is a highly polished 6'9" forward who averaged a double-double (23 PPG, 10 RPG).
