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Air Force vs. Louisville Odds, Date: Opening Spread, Total for 2021 First Responder Bowl

Air Force vs. Louisville Odds, Date: Opening Spread, Total for 2021 First Responder Bowl article feature image

Photo by Michael Allio/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Malik Cunningham

Air Force vs. Louisville Odds

Air Force Odds -1.5
Louisville Odds +1.5
Over/Under 55
Date Dec. 28
Location Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, Texas

Air Force is set to take on Louisville in the First Responder Bowl on Dec. 28 at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, Texas. Find our expert’s projected odds, a recap of each team’s seasons, plus more information on the First Responder Bowl below.

Air Force vs. Louisville Projected Odds

Air Force Spread -1
Louisville Spread +1
Over/Under 56.1

These Air Force vs. Louisville projections are based on Collin Wilson’s college football power ratings, which help power our PRO Projections — they compare all of his projections to real-time college football odds in order to easily identify betting edges.

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How Air Force Reached the First Responder Bowl

Air Force put together another successful campaign in 2021, dropping just three games to 10-3 Utah State, 11-2 San Diego State and 8-3 Army.

Air Force did top Navy early in the season, and we know how big rivalries are among the three service academy teams.

From a college football betting perspective, the Black Knights were very steady for their backers, evidenced by a 7-4 against-the-spread (ATS) record.

Interestingly, Air Force seemed to travel well by covering four of its five road games, but struggled at home with a mediocre 3-3 ATS record.

Whenever we think of service academies we think of the triple-option offense and lower-scoring games, and Air Force did its part by hitting the under in seven of its 11 lined games this season.

How Louisville Reached the First Responder Bowl

Winning hasn’t come as easy in the ACC for Scott Satterfield after departing App State off three straight Sun Belt titles, but he did just enough to sneak his Cardinals into a bowl game for the second time in his three-year stint.

The Cardinals were favored just once over their first five games, yet won three across that span to get out in front. They dropped four of five in the middle of the schedule — with three losses by a combined 10 points — but romped Syracuse and Duke by a combined 103-25 to grab a bid.

The offense, led by dual-threat quarterback Malik Cunningam, can march up and down the field in a hurry.

Louisville ranked just outside the top 20 in total yards per game (450.7), while Cunningham paced the team in rushing (968 yards).

Air Force vs. Louisville Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Air Force and Louisville match up statistically:

Air Force Offense vs. Louisville Defense
Rush Success 1 101
Line Yards 16 110
Pass Success 118 43
Pass Blocking** 100 103
Big Play 101 116
Havoc 2 57
Finishing Drives 26 107
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Louisville Offense vs. Air Force Defense
Rush Success 22 9
Line Yards 39 43
Pass Success 41 28
Pass Blocking** 8 8
Big Play 39 37
Havoc 25 25
Finishing Drives 21 41
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 8 68
Coverage 44 35
Middle 8 54 42
SP+ Special Teams 83 68
Plays per Minute 123 100
Rush Rate 88.3% (2) 57.7% (42)

Data via College Football Data, FootballOutsiders, SP+, PFF and SportSource Analytics.

First Responder Bowl Date, Time, TV, More Info

  • Date: Dec. 28
  • Time: 3:15 p.m. ET
  • Location: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, Texas
  • TV Info: ESPN

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