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Appalachian State vs. Western Kentucky Odds, Date: Opening Spread, Total for Boca Raton Bowl

Appalachian State vs. Western Kentucky Odds, Date: Opening Spread, Total for Boca Raton Bowl article feature image
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Adam Ruff/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Bailey Zappe.

Appalachian State vs. Western Kentucky Odds

Appalachian State Odds -2
Western Kentucky Odds +2
Over/Under 66.5
Date Dec. 18
Location FAU Stadium in Boca Raton, Florida

Appalachian State is set to take on Western Kentucky in the Boca Raton Bowl on Dec. 18 at FAU Stadium in Boca Raton, Florida.

SugarHouse opened this game with Appalachian State is 2-point favorites, which is pretty close to our projections of Appalachian State -1. The over/under has been set at 66.5, slightly below our projected total of 68.2.

Find our expert’s projected odds, a recap of each team’s seasons, plus more information on the Boca Raton Bowl below.

Appalachian State vs. Western Kentucky Projected Odds

Appalachian State Spread -1
Western Kentucky Spread +1
Over/Under 68.2

These Appalachian State vs. Western Kentucky projections are based on Collin Wilson’s college football power ratings, which help power our PRO Projections — they compare all of his projections to real-time college football odds in order to easily identify betting edges.

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How Appalachian State Reached the Boca Raton Bowl

Louisiana proved to be the thorn in Appalachian State’s side the season.

The Mountaineers posted another stellar campaign, evidenced by their 10-3 overall record, but two losses to the Ragin’ Cajuns, including in the Sun Belt Championship Game, prevented App State from yet another conference title.

Still, Appalachian State was very generous to college football bettors this year, posting an 8-4 against-the-spread (ATS) record for a very profitable 66.7% win rate.

Interestingly, two of those ATS losses came in the team’s final two games as Appalachian State failed to cover against Georgia Southern in its regular-season finale before also losing straight-up to Louisiana in the aforementioned Sun Belt title game.

How Western Kentucky Reached the Boca Raton Bowl

What’s better than a team that scores a bunch of points and wins you a lot of money along the way?

Meet Western Kentucky.

The Hilltoppers were the third-most profitable team in the country against the spread (9-3, 75%) during the regular season, thanks to an offense that ranked fourth in scoring (41.8 PPG).

Houston Baptist transfer and starting quarterback Bailey Zappe was superb for an offense that threw the ball at the second-highest rate in the entire nation.

He ought to pen the Heisman voters after leading the country in both passing yards and touchdowns.

Western Kentucky’s skill corps is headlined by Jerreth Sterns and Mitchell Tinsley, who both have more than 1,000 yards and double-digit touchdowns.


Appalachian State vs. Western Kentucky Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Appalachian State and Western Kentucky match up statistically:

Appalachian State Offense vs. Western Kentucky Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 57 98
Line Yards 53 88
Pass Success 18 65
Pass Blocking** 64 8
Big Play 120 41
Havoc 16 55
Finishing Drives 15 94
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Western Kentucky Offense vs. Appalachian State Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 98 8
Line Yards 32 2
Pass Success 1 29
Pass Blocking** 1 58
Big Play 41 26
Havoc 4 1
Finishing Drives 11 9
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 11 56
Coverage 28 27
Middle 8 36 5
SP+ Special Teams 11 14
Plays per Minute 82
Rush Rate 58.1% (36) 33.1% (129)

Data via College Football Data, FootballOutsiders, SP+, PFF and SportSource Analytics.


Boca Raton Bowl Date, Time, TV, More Info

  • Date: Dec. 18
  • Time: 11 a.m. ET
  • Location: FAU Stadium in Boca Raton, Florida
  • TV Info: ESPN

The Boca Raton Bowl is one of the best draws for postseason-eligible programs.

The game is played on Florida Atlantic’s campus — one of the most beautiful landscapes in all of college football.

The Boca Raton Bowl, which made its debut in 2014, has been televised on ESPN in all but one year (2019, ABC).

All five mid-major conferences — the American Athletic, Mountain West, MAC, Sun Belt and C-USA — have ties to the Boca Raton Bowl.

Conference USA is a perfect 5-0 in this bowl, while the American Athletic has been blanked in its previous four appearances.

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