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Ball State vs. Georgia State Odds, Date: Opening Spread, Total for 2021 Camellia Bowl

Ball State vs. Georgia State Odds, Date: Opening Spread, Total for 2021 Camellia Bowl article feature image

Nic Antaya/Getty Images. Pictured: Drew Plitt.

Ball State vs. Georgia State Odds

Ball State Odds +3.5
Georgia State Odds -3.5
Over/Under 50
Date Dec. 25
Location Cramton Bowl in Montgomery, Alabama

Ball State is set to take on Georgia State in the Camellia Bowl on Dec. 25 at Cramton Bowl in Montgomery, Alabama. Find our expert’s projected odds, a recap of each team’s seasons, plus more information on the Camellia Bowl below.

Ball State vs. Georgia State Projected Odds

Ball State Spread -9
Georgia State Spread +9
Over/Under 50.4

These Ball State vs. Georgia State projections are based on Collin Wilson’s college football power ratings, which help power our PRO Projections — they compare all of his projections to real-time college football odds in order to easily identify betting edges.

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How Ball State Reached the Camellia Bowl

Mike Neu’s Ball State team was a shell of the 2020 program that clocked out 7-1 and inside the AP Top 25.

The Cardinals were outscored by 3.2 points per game this fall, after registering a notable +8.5 clip during last year’s run to a MAC title.

Ball State was romped by 31 by Penn State in Week 2, then 33 to Wyoming the following game.

It suffered another pair of double-digit losses in conference play to Toledo and Central Michigan, settling for a fourth-place finish in the West.

The program also suffered a couple of separate, four-game losing skids against the spread in 2021.

Ball State’s offense went under the team total in nine of 12 games, averaging a paltry 24.4 points per contest.

How Georgia State Reached the Camellia Bowl

Anyone who counted Georgia State out following its 0-2 start missed out on a treasure trove.

The Panthers somehow righted the ship after getting outscored 102-27 in their first two contests, finishing the season 8-4 against the spread with six covers over the final seven games.

The biggest was an outright win over Coastal Carolina as 13-point underdogs. That kick-started a three-game winning streak to close it out for head coach Shawn Elliott, who’s been bowl-eligible in four of the last five years.

The defense wasn’t great in any one area, but it did hold five of the last six opponents under the team total.

Offensively, Georgia State posted the highest rush rate (63.5%) among Group of 5 affiliates when factoring out the service academies.

The Panthers racked up 225.4 yards per game on the ground, a top-10 rank nationally.

Ball State vs. Georgia State Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Ball State and Georgia State match up statistically:

Ball State Offense vs. Georgia State Defense
Rush Success 74 45
Line Yards 71 45
Pass Success 106 75
Pass Blocking** 86 23
Big Play 98 37
Havoc 23 41
Finishing Drives 67 60
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Georgia State Offense vs. Ball State Defense
Rush Success 36 97
Line Yards 37 95
Pass Success 98 129
Pass Blocking** 106 21
Big Play 108 62
Havoc 46 107
Finishing Drives 19 67
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 20 90
Coverage 89 69
Middle 8 111 67
SP+ Special Teams 30 43
Plays per Minute 23 100
Rush Rate 50.9% (90) 65.3% (6)

Data via College Football Data, FootballOutsiders, SP+, PFF and SportSource Analytics.

Camellia Bowl Date, Time, TV, More Info

  • Date: Dec. 25
  • Time: 2:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Cramton Bowl in Montgomery, Alabama
  • TV Info: ESPN

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