North Carolina vs. South Carolina Odds, Date: Opening Spread, Total for Duke’s Mayo Bowl 2021

North Carolina vs. South Carolina Odds, Date: Opening Spread, Total for Duke’s Mayo Bowl 2021 article feature image
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Photo by Justin Berl/Getty Images. Pictured: Sam Howell #7 of the North Carolina Tar Heels

UNC vs. South Carolina Odds

UNC Odds -6
South Carolina Odds +6
Over/Under 58
Date Dec. 30
Location Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina

North Carolina is set to take on South Carolina in the Duke’s Mayo Bowl on Dec. 30 at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina. Find our expert’s projected odds, a recap of each team’s seasons, plus more information on the Duke’s Mayo Bowl below.

North Carolina vs. South Carolina Projected Odds

North Carolina Spread -11.5
South Carolina Spread +11.5
Over/Under 52.5

These North Carolina vs. South Carolina projections are based on Collin Wilson’s college football power ratings, which help power our PRO Projections — they compare all of his projections to real-time college football odds in order to easily identify betting edges.

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How North Carolina Reached the Duke’s Mayo Bowl

Mack Brown’s North Carolina squad was the epitome of volatile, and it was clear that would be the case from the get-go.

The Tar Heels, widely considered a formidable threat in the ACC, suffered a season-opening loss to Virginia Tech as a touchdown-sized favorite.

And that wasn’t even the most embarrassing loss of the year.

UNC dropped a neutral-site clash to Georgia Tech as a 14-point favorite, then got raked by double-digits to Florida State as 18-point chalk two weeks later.

Quarterback Sam Howell was a potential No. 1 overall draft pick entering the season. The dual threat recorded 23 scores through the air and another 11 on the ground, with nine interceptions. He, too, saw some peaks and valleys but was far from the Tar Heels’ biggest problem.

The defense was awful, coughing up north of 400 total yards and 31 points per contest.

How South Carolina Reached the Duke’s Mayo Bowl

What an interesting year for South Carolina.

After starting the season with two wins, followed by two straight losses, the Gamecocks alternated wins and losses the rest of the way en route to a 6-6 campaign.

And while not perfect, against-the-spread (ATS) records can also provide insight into a team’s performance compared to expectations.

For example, a team favored by 30 points should have no trouble winning a game straight up, but failing to cover that number shows a bit of underperformance.

In 2021 the Gamecocks were just off betting market expectations, finishing with a 5-6 ATS record.

But again, the numbers are very close as South Carolina’s average cover margin was -0.55 points.


North Carolina vs. South Carolina Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how North Carolina and South Carolina match up statistically:

North Carolina Offense vs. South Carolina Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 4 99
Line Yards 13 113
Pass Success 71 49
Pass Blocking** 27 65
Big Play 5 34
Havoc 97 61
Finishing Drives 17 28
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

South Carolina Offense vs. North Carolina Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 117 113
Line Yards 102 92
Pass Success 82 74
Pass Blocking** 117 76
Big Play 86 77
Havoc 120 91
Finishing Drives 118 98
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 48 99
Coverage 90 16
Middle 8 90 70
SP+ Special Teams 67 12
Plays per Minute 55 100
Rush Rate 57.2% (46) 54.7% (68)

Data via College Football Data, FootballOutsiders, SP+, PFF and SportSource Analytics.


Duke’s Mayo Bowl Date, Time, TV, More Info

  • Date: Dec. 30
  • Time: 11:30 a.m. ET
  • Location: Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina
  • TV Info: ESPN

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