North Carolina vs. South Carolina Odds, Date: Opening Spread, Total for Duke’s Mayo Bowl 2021

UNC vs. South Carolina Odds

North Carolina is set to take on South Carolina in the Duke's Mayo Bowl on Dec. 30 at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina. Find our expert's projected odds, a recap of each team's seasons, plus more information on the Duke's Mayo Bowl below.

North Carolina vs. South Carolina Projected Odds

These North Carolina vs. South Carolina projections are based on Collin Wilson's college football power ratings, which help power our PRO Projections — they compare all of his projections to real-time college football odds in order to easily identify betting edges.

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How North Carolina Reached the Duke's Mayo Bowl

Mack Brown’s North Carolina squad was the epitome of volatile, and it was clear that would be the case from the get-go.

The Tar Heels, widely considered a formidable threat in the ACC, suffered a season-opening loss to Virginia Tech as a touchdown-sized favorite.

And that wasn’t even the most embarrassing loss of the year.

UNC dropped a neutral-site clash to Georgia Tech as a 14-point favorite, then got raked by double-digits to Florida State as 18-point chalk two weeks later.

Quarterback Sam Howell was a potential No. 1 overall draft pick entering the season. The dual threat recorded 23 scores through the air and another 11 on the ground, with nine interceptions. He, too, saw some peaks and valleys but was far from the Tar Heels’ biggest problem.

The defense was awful, coughing up north of 400 total yards and 31 points per contest.

How South Carolina Reached the Duke's Mayo Bowl

What an interesting year for South Carolina.

After starting the season with two wins, followed by two straight losses, the Gamecocks alternated wins and losses the rest of the way en route to a 6-6 campaign.

And while not perfect, against-the-spread (ATS) records can also provide insight into a team’s performance compared to expectations.

For example, a team favored by 30 points should have no trouble winning a game straight up, but failing to cover that number shows a bit of underperformance.

In 2021 the Gamecocks were just off betting market expectations, finishing with a 5-6 ATS record.

But again, the numbers are very close as South Carolina’s average cover margin was -0.55 points.

North Carolina vs. South Carolina Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how North Carolina and South Carolina match up statistically:

North Carolina Offense vs. South Carolina Defense

	Offense	Defense	Edge
Rush Success	4	99
Line Yards	13	113
Pass Success	71	49
Pass Blocking**	27	65
Big Play	5	34
Havoc	97	61
Finishing Drives	17	28
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

South Carolina Offense vs. North Carolina Defense

	Offense	Defense	Edge
Rush Success	117	113
Line Yards	102	92
Pass Success	82	74
Pass Blocking**	117	76
Big Play	86	77
Havoc	120	91
Finishing Drives	118	98
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pace of Play / Other

PFF Tackling	48	99
Coverage	90	16
Middle 8	90	70
SP+ Special Teams	67	12
Plays per Minute	55	100
Rush Rate	57.2% (46)	54.7% (68)

Duke's Mayo Bowl Date, Time, TV, More Info

• Date: Dec. 30
• Time: 11:30 a.m. ET
• Location: Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina
• TV Info: ESPN