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Penn State vs. Arkansas Odds, Date: Opening Spread, Total for 2022 Outback Bowl

Penn State vs. Arkansas Odds, Date: Opening Spread, Total for 2022 Outback Bowl article feature image

Tom Pennington/Getty Images. Pictured: Sean Clifford.

Penn State vs. Arkansas Odds

Penn State Odds -3
Arkansas Odds +3
Over/Under 46
Date Jan. 1
Location Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida

The Penn State Nittany Lions are set to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks in the Outback Bowl on Jan. 1 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida.

Find our expert’s projected odds, a recap of each team’s seasons, plus more information on the Outback Bowl below.

Penn State vs. Arkansas Projected Odds

Penn State Spread -1.5
Arkansas Spread +1.5
Over/Under 58.3

These Penn State vs. Arkansas projections are based on Collin Wilson’s college football power ratings, which help power our PRO Projections — they compare all of his projections to real-time college football odds in order to easily identify betting edges.

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How Penn State Reached the Outback Bowl

The Nittany Lions placed fourth in the Big Ten East, the program’s worst finish since 2015.

Head coach James Franklin led the team to three 11-win campaigns from 2016-19, but has tallied at least five losses in back-to-back seasons.

The club started the 2021 season 5-0 before everything went downhill.

Penn State went on a three-game losing skid, then came up empty against both Michigan schools down the stretch.

There was perhaps a little bit of misfortune involved, as four of the Nittany Lions’ five losses were by four points or fewer.

Franklin has coached an even 100 games at the program, winning 67 of them.

How Arkansas Reached the Outback Bowl

We learn a lot about programs in the second year of head-coaching stints.

It’s safe to say the Razorbacks love Sam Pittman. The former Georgia OL coach has Woo Pig trending the right direction, piloting the school to its first bowl bid since 2016.

The Razorbacks were September’s top cash cow, producing four straight wins and covers out of the gates, including victories in the underdog role over Texas and Texas A&M.

Arkansas stumbled thereafter against a gauntlet — Georgia, Ole Miss and Auburn — but recouped in the second half, winning four of its final five.

The offense boasts one of the best rushing attacks in football, totaling north of 217 yards per contest.

Overall, the Razorbacks finished the regular season 7-4-1 against the number and 7-5 to the over.

Penn State vs. Arkansas Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Penn State and Arkansas match up statistically:

Penn State Offense vs. Arkansas Defense
Rush Success 127 46
Line Yards 126 36
Pass Success 31 46
Pass Blocking** 68 56
Big Play 78 34
Havoc 91 74
Finishing Drives 88 22
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Arkansas Offense vs. Penn State Defense
Rush Success 24 41
Line Yards 41 39
Pass Success 46 21
Pass Blocking** 41 53
Big Play 13 10
Havoc 89 58
Finishing Drives 93 4
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 56 48
Coverage 8 71
Middle 8 50 33
SP+ Special Teams 29 39
Plays per Minute 14
Rush Rate 47.6% (111) 64.3% (10)

Data via College Football Data, FootballOutsiders, SP+, PFF and SportSource Analytics.

Outback Bowl Date, Time, TV, More Info

  • Date: Jan. 1, 2022
  • Time: Noon ET
  • Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida
  • TV Info: ESPN2

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