NCAAF Odds, Picks for South Carolina vs. Georgia

NCAAF Odds, Picks for South Carolina vs. Georgia article feature image

Photo by James Gilbert/Getty Images. Pictured: Spencer Rattler (South Carolina)

South Carolina vs. Georgia Odds

Saturday, Sept. 16
3:30 p.m. ET
South Carolina Odds
-105o / -115u
Georgia Odds
-105o / -115u
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAF odds here.

Although this week's slate is supremely lacking in marquee matchups, it doesn’t mean we can’t get fired up to place a wager on an SEC battle between South Carolina and Georgia.

The Gamecocks come into this matchup licking their wounds after struggling in their opening game against North Carolina on a national stage before turning around and allowing Furman to find the end zone on three separate occasions.

On the other side, Georgia handled its business against UT Martin and Ball State, averaging 49.5 points per game while allowing an average of just five points in both contests.

To determine if South Carolina will be able to develop some consistent success on either side of the ball, let’s take a look at the odds and make a pick for South Carolina vs. Georgia.

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South Carolina Gamecocks

South Carolina has had a less-than-ideal start to its 2023 campaign. The Gamecocks were defeated by rival North Carolina, 31-17, by allowing the Tar Heels to create consistent Havoc on the defensive side. That resulted in QB Spencer Rattler being forced to create outside the pocket.

The Tar Heels' front seven posted a Havoc percentage of 24.6% against South Carolina’s offensive line, which amounted to nine total sacks and 16 tackles for loss.

Although this performance by the Gamecocks' offensive line was more than concerning, Rattler was still able to move the ball down the field, racking up 353 yards through the air with a 76.9% completion percentage.

Spencer Rattler's pass chart vs UNC

7.3 ADOT
7.4 ANY/A
79.5% Accuracy
90.9% Adj Comp
58.7% Depth Adj Acc
7.7% Uncatchable
46.2% Success
35.9% 1D+TD
17.9% Explosive
2.6% Interceptable
12.8% Drop
23.1% Pressured Pass
15.4% Screen+RPO
5.1% PA
44.5% Air Yard

— Clark Brooks (@SEC_StatCat) September 5, 2023

This ability to create production despite poor offensive line play will be critical against a Georgia defense that's struggled to create Havoc up front through the first two weeks. The Bulldogs rank 73rd nationally in Defensive Havoc despite matchups against inferior opponents.

Look for Rattler and this South Carolina offense to find success against a talented Georgia defense, even if this score gets out of reach early on.

Georgia Bulldogs

The Bulldogs have been business as usual to start the 2023 season. Georgia and QB Carson Beck rank 34th nationally in Standard Down Explosiveness, resulting in 5.54 points per opportunity on the offensive side.

This efficiency will be catalyzed by a South Carolina defense that ranks outside the top 70 in both Success Rate and Explosiveness Allowed.

In addition, the Bulldogs haven't been afraid to air the ball out to start the season, as they rank 27th nationally in passing play rate, which has them at a respectable 27 seconds per play.

Finding success through the air should come early and often, as the South Carolina secondary has been poor to start the year, ranking 131st in Passing Down Explosiveness Allowed and 110th in Passing Play Success Rate.

Look for the Bulldogs to keep things moving through the air, resulting in a game script that will lend itself to being more up-tempo than some are predicting.

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South Carolina vs Georgia

Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how South Carolina and Georgia match up statistically:

South Carolina Offense vs. Georgia Defense
Rush Success10511
Line Yards11748
Pass Success417
Finishing Drives10910
Quality Drives693
Georgia Offense vs. South Carolina Defense
Rush Success6366
Line Yards7858
Pass Success33106
Finishing Drives1643
Quality Drives2772
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling2724
PFF Coverage7132
Special Teams SP+9129
Middle 88519
Seconds per Play24.2 (22)27.0 (68)
Rush Rate47.6% (120)44.3% (102)

South Carolina vs Georgia

Betting Pick & Prediction

Through two weeks, it's clear that South Carolina has multiple issues that need to be addressed on both sides of the ball.

Georgia has plenty of talent to expose these weaknesses, particularly on the offensive side, as Beck has been efficient against two questionable defenses in his first two career starts.

Similarly, South Carolina has utilized Rattler’s athleticism to salvage some surprising offensive production with an offensive line that's underperformed.

As a result, I expect both offenses to find enough success on Saturday to get this game above the posted total, which currently sits at 54.5.

It's important to note that this number has been bet down from its opening of 56.5, so make sure to get the best number as it hovers around the key number of 54.

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