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West Virginia vs. Minnesota Odds, Date: Opening Spread, Total for 2021 Guaranteed Rate Bowl

West Virginia vs. Minnesota Odds, Date: Opening Spread, Total for 2021 Guaranteed Rate Bowl article feature image

Peter G. Aiken/Getty Images. Pictured: Jarret Doege

West Virginia vs. Minnesota Odds

West Virginia Odds +5
Minnesota Odds -5
Over/Under 44
Date Dec. 28
Location Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona

West Virginia is set to take on Minnesota in the Guaranteed Rate Bowl on Dec. 28 at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. Find our expert’s projected odds, a recap of each team’s seasons, plus more information on the Guaranteed Rate Bowl below.

West Virginia vs. Minnesota Projected Odds

West Virginia Spread -2
Minnesota Spread +2
Over/Under 47

These West Virginia vs. Minnesota projections are based on Collin Wilson’s college football power ratings, which help power our PRO Projections — they compare all of his projections to real-time college football odds in order to easily identify betting edges.

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How West Virginia Reached the Guaranteed Rate Bowl

Neal Brown is still stuck in the logjam of the Big 12.

After leading Troy to three straight double-digit-win seasons and a Sun Belt title to boot, the head man has gone 5-7, 6-7 and — most-recently — 6-6 at West Virginia.

The Mountaineers, who also finished the regular season 6-6 against the spread, were outscored by 3.3 points per game.

The offense was especially bland for a Big 12 unit, totaling more than 34 points once against FBS competition. West Virginia was held to 20 or fewer points against five conference foes.

If anything, Brown has been great in bowls, winning all four appearances — that includes when West Virginia took down Army in the Liberty Bowl last season.

How Minnesota Reached the Guaranteed Rate Bowl

What an odd year for Minnesota, seemingly from the start.

The Gophers hung with Ohio State in the opener, but nearly lost to Miami (OH) out of the MAC the following week. They beat Colorado by 30 in a game they were getting points. Then, the following week, they lost to Bowling Green outright as a 30.5-point favorite.

Minnesota then rallied the next two weeks, with consecutive upsets of Nebraska and Purdue before losing as a 14.5-point favorite against Illinois. The Gophers were able to cap the season with a win as underdogs against Wisconsin, spoiling the Badgers’ big to make the Big Ten Championship.

Get all that?

Whichever version of the Golden Gophers you remember from the 2021 season, here’s the facts: P.J. Fleck’s squad oddly closed the year with momentum, covering six of the final eight.

Minnesota’s defense got the job done, ranking 11th or better nationally in passing yards, rushing yards, total yards, and total points allowed per game.

West Virginia vs. Minnesota Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how West Virginia and Minnesota match up statistically:

West Virginia Offense vs. Minnesota Defense
Rush Success 72 15
Line Yards 83 22
Pass Success 44 27
Pass Blocking** 29 68
Big Play 74 12
Havoc 88 88
Finishing Drives 38 64
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Minnesota Offense vs. West Virginia Defense
Rush Success 61 48
Line Yards 51 57
Pass Success 85 81
Pass Blocking** 37 79
Big Play 53 19
Havoc 29 64
Finishing Drives 79 21
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 29 78
Coverage 69 35
Middle 8 39 14
SP+ Special Teams 100 41
Plays per Minute 92 100
Rush Rate 50.5% (93) 69.3% (4)

Data via College Football Data, FootballOutsiders, SP+, PFF and SportSource Analytics.

Guaranteed Rate Bowl Date, Time, TV, More Info

  • Date: Dec. 28
  • Time: 10:15 p.m. ET
  • Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
  • TV Info: ESPN

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