The Los Angeles Rams (4-2) and Jacksonville Jaguars (4-2) will face off in Week 7 on Sunday, October 19. Kickoff is set for 9:30 a.m. ET from Wembley Stadium in London, England. The game will broadcast live on NFL Network.
The Rams are 3-point favorites over the Jaguars on the spread (Rams -3), with the over/under set at 44.5 total points. Los Angeles is a -165 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Jacksonville is +145 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Rams vs Jaguars predictions for the NFL London game.
- Rams vs Jaguars picks: Rams -3 (-110) + Davante Adams Props
My Jaguars vs Rams best bet is on Los Angeles to cover the spread. Find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
Rams vs Jaguars Odds
Rams Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3 -110 | 44.5 -110o / -110u | -165 |
Jaguars Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3 -110 | 44.5 -110o / -110u | +145 |
Rams vs Jaguars NFL Week 7 Preview
Is this the best Sunday morning game of the season?
It might not have looked that way before the season started, but this is suddenly a matchup of teams positioned to make the playoffs, with two of the more exciting offenses in football.
The Jaguars are back in London again, their home away from home.
Jacksonville has played far more games in England than any other NFL team, and some may argue that gives the Jaguars something of a home field advantage.
However, are we sure about that?
Liam Coen is a first-year head coach and has the youngest, most inexperienced staff in the league. So, this could be a big adjustment.
Sean McVay has played outside of the country before and should have his team ready, and he'll also be ready for Coen, a former longtime Rams assistant.
Usually, you just want the better team in these neutral games. And right now, the Rams are the better team.
The Rams enter the weekend fringe top-five in my power ratings, while Jacksonville is still around league-average.
The DVOA metrics back that up. The Rams rank top five by DVOA on both offense and defense, while the Jaguars are close to average at all three facets of the game.
The Jaguars' offense has been fun, but inconsistent, and the offensive line has faltered in recent weeks, and could have its hands full with this young Rams' defensive front.
Trevor Lawrence has been sacked 10 times in just the last two weeks, a real red flag for a quarterback who usually doesn't struggle in that area.
The big name missing in this one is Puka Nacua.
Nacua has been the best receiver in the league this season, and he's a real loss to the Rams, but it matters that LA knew all week that it wouldn't have Nacua.
McVay builds entire game plans around getting the ball to Nacua. So, losing him mid-game like last week can be a tough adjustment.
Now, McVay has had an entire week to build a different game plan to face the Jaguars, a team that plays a ton of two-high safety — and that was probably always going to set up as a better game for field-stretchers like Davante Adams and Tyler Higbee.
Adams has been the clear No. 2 target in the Rams' offense with Nacua in the OPOY conversation, but this looks like it could be his breakout game for his new team, and I'm looking to invest heavily in Adams overs.
Just look at what opposing star WRs have done against Jacksonville this season.
Ja'Marr Chase caught 14 balls for 165 yards and a score. Nico Collins had eight receptions for 104 and a TD. Last week, the Jaguars traded for CB Greg Newsome and he got torched by Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 162 yards and a touchdown on eight catches.
These receivers are much closer to Davante Adams in profile than Nacua, not attacking underneath with YAC, but beating the Jaguars over the top for big plays down the field.
But you won't have to tell Davante that. He had his best game since leaving Green Bay against these Jaguars last season: nine catches for 198 yards and a pair of touchdowns.
Davante Adams Props
Could this be a huge game for Adams?
Adams is always a touchdown threat in the red zone. So, play Adams to score an anytime touchdown at +100.
Adams has scored a touchdown in half of his games with the Rams already, and in 14 of his last 27 games overall, over half.
He has 24 career games with multiple scores. So, also place a portion of your TD wager on 2+ TDs at +650.
Adams isn't always a huge yardage guy, but when he hits, he can put up some monster lines.
I'm forgoing his traditional yardage overs and playing some of the outliers in hope of a big game; 100+ receiving yards and a TD is +490 at bet365, a reasonable outcome for the top WR with Nacua out.
Think he can match last year's performance, or what Chase and JSN did to this Jacksonville' defense?
You can bet 150+ yards at +1000, or go for broke with a little nibble on 150+ yards and a pair of TDs at +8150.
I like the anytime TD bet best along with the 100-to-1 bet, but I'm touching every one of those props. So, split up your bet however you prefer.
Rams vs Jaguars Prediction, Betting Analysis
The Rams have the better team, the more reliable offense, the better defense, and the best playmaker on the field in Davante Adams.
I like the Rams, even with Nacua out.
This line has sat right at Rams -3 all week long, the most important key number.
There's still a chance it could move a touch toward Jacksonville before kickoff with Nacua out and the perceived home-field advantage, if you want to risk it and wait for Rams -2.5.
However, the line could also move the other way, and then we lose the key number.
I'll bet Rams -3 now and live with the result — and hope for a huge day from Davante Adams in blue-and-yellow.
Picks: Rams -3 + Davante Adams Props
Spread
My Jaguars vs Rams betting prediction is on Los Angeles to cover the spread at -3.
Moneyline
I prefer to lay the points with the Rams as opposed to targeting the moneyline in this spot.
Over/Under
I'm not betting either side of the total on Sunday morning.