NFL Draft Odds: Trevor Lawrence or Justin Fields? Betting Market Sees Little Debate for First Overall Pick
NFL Draft Odds
There’s no debate Justin Fields was more impressive than Trevor Lawrence in this year’s Sugar Bowl, but the debate for the No. 1 pick in the NFL Draft isn’t close, according to the betting market.
Fields threw for six touchdowns on 22-of-28 passing for 385 yards against Lawrence’s Clemson Tigers, much of it coming after an apparent rib injury. Lawrence himself accumulated nice stats — 400 yards on 33-of-48 passing with two touchdowns — but Ohio State’s Fields was the star of the game.
The performance and 49-28 win for Ohio State created the question on social media if Fields could surpass Lawrence as the No. 1 overall pick in the upcoming draft.
QB grades in the College Football Playoff
🔸 Justin Fields, Ohio State – 92.9
🔸 Mac Jones, Alabama – 84.0
🔸Trevor Lawrence, Clemson – 62.4
🔸Ian Book, Notre Dame – 55.4 pic.twitter.com/pdH24aK5PG
— PFF College (@PFF_College) January 2, 2021
Fields has one more game to impress evaluators when Ohio State meets Alabama for the national championship. But the betting market suggests there’s a lot of ground to make up on Lawrence.
At sportsbooks with the prop available for No. 1 pick in the NFL Draft, Lawrence is favored in all of them. His lowest odds are -1200 at BetMGM; his highest odds are -6000 at FanDuel. In that case, a bettor must risk $6,000 to profit $100. That comes with an implied probability greater than 95%.
Fields is second on all boards, ranging from +700 (DraftKings) to +1000.
The Jacksonville Jaguars own the top pick in the draft and will certainly be taking a quarterback. The organization is going through an overhaul this offseason, hiring a new general manager and head coach. With cap space and a new quarterback coming, it’s an attractive job.
While Fields is the talk of the town today, BYU quarterback Zach Wilson is actually taken ahead of him in the latest PFF mock draft. He can be had at +3500 to be the No. 1 pick at BetMGM.