Late Wiseguy Action Moving Redskins-Saints Over/Under
Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Drew Brees
- The over/under for tonight's Washington Redskins-New Orleans Saints (8:15 p.m. ET) matchup on Monday Night Football sits at its opener of 51.
- While comparing the opening and current line suggests little in terms of sharp money, our betting tools indicate that professionals have already taken on a position on this over/under.
If solely looking at the opening and current lines, it doesn’t look like there’s been much betting action on tonight’s Washington Redskins-New Orleans Saints matchup (8:15 p.m. ET) on Monday Night Football.
This total opened at 51, and eight days later, the number remains at 51. That’s not exactly a line move that catches the eye of the average bettor.
However, not only is it important to compare where a line started to where it is now, but it’s also significant to look at how it’s moved throughout the week.
By using both Sports Insights’ line history and Bet Signals data — which track sharp action in real time — we can determine how professionals have been betting this game, specifically over the past 24 hours.
With 82% of tickets and 66% of dollars wagered taking the over, oddsmakers moved the total up from 51 to 53, where the number sat as recently as Saturday evening.
With the over/under inflated due to one-sided betting, wiseguys pounced.
Sports Insights’ Bet Signals have triggered three Reverse Line Moves on the under, explaining why it’s dropped back down from 53 to 51 across the betting market.
Reverse line movement occurs when a betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. In this instance, the overwhelming majority of betting tickets is on the over, yet the line has actually dropped since Sunday.
This is an indicator that sharp action is responsible for the late line movement.
While most will simply breeze past this over/under, savvy bettors willing to take advantage of available betting data can quietly tail the professionals on the under.