NFL Week 1 Picks: Pro Bettors Quietly Moving Texans vs. Chiefs Spread


Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images. Pictured: Cullen Gillaspia #44 of the Houston Texans

Sep 01, 2020, 12:26 PM EDT

NBA Game 7s! The 2020 TOUR Championship! Kentucky Derby! NHL playoffs! MLB!

Sports are humming right now, with plenty of action to whet the appetites of both fans and casual bettors. So much so that the NFL, which starts its 2020 season in less than 10 days, is taking a backseat to more pressing and actionable sports.

However, sharps haven’t forgotten about professional football as evidenced by the heavy yet quiet flow of smart money that recently hit the Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs season-opening matchup.

Using The Action Network’s betting tools, let’s examine the side pro bettors are taking in Texans vs. Chiefs.

NFL Week 1 Sharp Pick: Texans vs. Chiefs

The reigning Super Bowl champions opened as 10-point favorites over the Texans at DraftKings Sportsbook back on July 9, and that spread did not budge until late Tuesday morning.

According to Sports Insights’ Bet Signals, which report instances of sharp betting action in real-time, professionals steamed the Texans at +10 to drive this price into single-digits across the market for the first time since opening — Houston now sits at +8.5 at DraftKings.

Considering the importance of the number 10 in NFL spread betting — 5.68% of all NFL games have finished with a margin of victory of 10 points since 2003 — it’s not surprising to see bettors with the resources and respect to move such a sharp market getting down on Houston as a double-digit dog.

There are still nine days until this game kicks off, but while recreational bettors are split 50/50 on the correct side of this spread, sharps have shown their hand for the first time all summer.

As always, be sure to visit our NFL Live Odds page to shop for the best possible lines available. At the time of writing, FanDuel is hanging Houston +9.5 to DraftKings’+8.5, so take a minute to peruse the market and lock in the extra point of line value.

Sharp angle: Texans (moved from +10 to +8.5) [Bet now at FanDuel and get a $500 risk-free bet.]

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