The Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens will play tonight in the NFL Wild Card Round at 8 p.m. ET at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. The game will be broadcast exclusively on Amazon Prime Video.
Steelers vs. Ravens odds (via BetMGM) have the Ravens as -600 moneyline favorites and Steelers as +425 underdogs. The game total over/under is 44.5 points (-110o / -110u). The Ravens are 9.5-point favorites over the Steelers on the spread.
Let's get into my Steelers vs. Ravens prediction and Wild Card picks, plus the latest betting trends, inactives, weather forecast and more.
Steelers vs. Ravens Predictions
Spread
If you forced me to make a pick, it'd be Ravens -8.5. However, I won't be betting the spread with Zay Flowers ruled out for Baltimore.
Moneyline
I have no play on the moneyline.
Over/Under
I was able to bet the under at 44, but 44.5 is available at some sportsbooks as kickoff nears. I like the under up to 43.5.
My Pick: Under 44.5
Steelers vs. Ravens Odds
| Steelers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+9.5 -115 | 44.5 -105o / -115u | +425 |
| Ravens Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-9.5 -105 | 44.5 -105o / -115u | -600 |
- Ravens vs. Steelers spread: Steelers +9.5 (-115), Ravens -9.5 (-105)
- Ravens vs. Steelers over/under: 44.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Ravens vs. Steelers moneyline: Steelers +425, Ravens -600
- Ravens vs. Steelers best bet: Under 44.5
For all of your NFL bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NFL odds page.
Steelers vs. Ravens Wild Card Preview, Pick
This total has gone down a bit since open, but I’m still fine with 43.5. It was 44 last week, but anything above 43 is fine with me since that’s a key number.
This is the third matchup between these teams this season. The first one was a low-scoring battle that the Steelers won without scoring a touchdown, then it was a 34-17 Ravens win in Baltimore the second time around.
This matchup in the playoffs swings toward a low-scoring game.
Zay Flowers has already been ruled out due to a knee injury he suffered in Week 18. The second-year receiver leads the Ravens by a noteworthy margin in first-read throws from Lamar Jackson, so having to adjust for missing your go-to guy in the playoffs will be tough.
Flowers' absence will reduce the Ravens’ explosiveness in the passing game, and it will make the Steelers’ impressive pass rush even more important. Pittsburgh has defended Jackson well throughout his career with T.J. Watt and Cameron Heyward up front; I expect the Steelers' front seven to make Jackson uncomfortable.
The Ravens defense, meanwhile, has been trending up over the second half of the season. The key has been how they’ve deployed safety Kyle Hamilton. Instead of moving him around the field a lot, he’s been kept primarily at safety, which has the Baltimore defense playing much better than it did in the first half of the season.
I don’t see how the Steelers are going to have success offensively against this version of the Ravens defense. Baltimore plays a lot of single-high-safety coverage — Russell Wilson is 27th in success rate against that coverage. He has a high yards-per-attempt average, which indicates he’s boom or bust.
The Steelers have no offensive consistency right now. George Pickens, notably, hasn’t made much of an impact since returning from injury.
Pittsburgh only put up 17 points against a subpar Bengals defense to end the season, which doesn’t inspire confidence. The Steelers only had 193 yards of offense, which doesn’t bode well for a matchup that takes them on the road against a much, much better defensive unit.
The pick on the spread here is on Baltimore, but I don’t love that with Flowers sidelined. Instead, I’ll go for the under.
My Pick: Under 44.5 (-115)
Steelers vs. Ravens Betting Trends
- 57% of bets and 59% of money on the spread are on the Ravens.
- 73% of bets and 68% of money on the total are on the over.
- 89% of bets and 69% of money on the moneyline are on the Ravens.
Steelers vs. Ravens Inactives
Steelers Inactives
- QB Kyle Allen (3rd QB)
- WR Scotty Miller
- WR Jamal Agnew
- CB Cory Trice Jr.
- OL Mason McCormick
- LB Preston Smith
- DE Dean Lowry
Ravens Inactives
- WR Zay Flowers
- S Beau Brade
- RB Rasheen Ali
- S Marcus Williams
- LB Adisa Isaac
- C Nick Samac
- WR Keith Kirkwood
