The Top Prop Bet for Packers vs. Vikings on Monday Night Football
Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Kirk Cousins
- Justin Bailey highlights the top prop bet for the Monday Night Football matchup between the Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings.
- Find his pick for the over/under on 1.5 passing touchdowns for Vikings QB Kirk Cousins.
NFL player prop bets can offer some of the best betting value on the board in any given week. They typically feature smaller limits and take less action than traditional game bets, so the market can often be less efficient than NFL sides and totals.
This is where the FantasyLabs Player Props tool comes in handy.
We leverage prop bets against our player projections from Sean Koerner, the No. 1 in-season fantasy football ranker in three of the past four seasons.
Each prop bet then receives a Bet Quality grade between 1 and 10, with 10 being the biggest edge.
Packers vs. Vikings Prop Bets
Now let’s take a look at the top prop worth considering for the Monday Night Football contest between the Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings.
Vikings QB Kirk Cousins
THE PICK: Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-125)
The over on Cousins’ touchdown prop seems to make the most sense considering Dalvin Cook (shoulder) is out and Alexander Mattison (ankle) looks like he’ll be on the shelf as well.
This leaves preseason darling Mike Boone to take on backfield duties, along with Ameer Abdullah. Adam Thielen is another week healthier after he played around 50% of the snaps in Week 15, which should bode well for Cousins’ touchdown equity.
The combination of the Vikings being down their top-two running backs could draw up a more pass-heavy scheme, especially if this game stays close.
Cousins has just one passing touchdown in each of his last two games against the Chargers and Lions. However, those were largely blowouts as the Vikings went on to win 39-10 and 20-7 in those games.
In his last four competitive games that the Vikings either won or lost within seven points, Cousins threw two or more touchdowns. And, he’s been stellar when throwing inside the red zone this season, sporting a 32% touchdown rate, the third-best mark in the league.
We currently have him projected for 1.9 passing touchdowns, which puts my lean on the over. I wouldn’t bet this worse than -125.