Get betting tools used by pros

Super Bowl 54 Simulations Reveal 49ers vs. Chiefs Spread Betting Value


Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images. Pictured: The San Francisco 49ers defense

The Kansas City Chiefs are 1.5-point favorites over the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl 54 (6:30 p.m. ET, FOX). A majority of spread tickets are on Patrick Mahomes & Co.

Bookmakers and the public favor the Chiefs but not The Action Network’s model, which uses player and team statistics to simulate the Super Bowl 10,000 times.

Odds as of Jan. 22 and via FanDuel, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.

According to the math, the 49ers, not the Chiefs, should be favored. On average, our simulations have Kyle Shanahan’s team winning by 0.4 points.

The numbers suggest the 49ers should be favored, but can we trust the simulations?

Super Bowl 54 Simulations, Odds

Top Offers

Odds Boosts
See More >
Odds boosts are simply regular bets offered at enticing odds. They're available to everyone and there's no limit to how many you can bet.
Sportsbook Reviews
See More >
Discover the best online sports betting sites and take advantage of bonus offers from legal sportsbooks.
Expert Picks
See More >
See what plays the Action Network experts are making for all of today's games.
PRO Membership
See More >
Access betting systems and signals to get daily, actionable picks.
Download the App
See More >
Download the Action app to track all your bets in one place. Exclusive data helped you make smarter betting decisions.
See More >
The best sports betting newsletter with trends, insights and news - condensed in a two-minute read.
Live Odds
See More >
See live odds and the best lines for every game.

Follow Us On Social

Top Stories