Comparing Our Super Bowl & NFL Playoff Projections to Odds for All 32 Teams
Andrew Dieb/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott.
A lot has changed since Kansas City won the Super Bowl in February.
Tom Brady went to Tampa Bay. Cam Newton was officially named the successor in New England. The Chiefs inked Patrick Mahomes to a 10-year (!) extension. The Bengals drafted who they hope to be their franchise quarterback … and that's barely scratching the surface before even factoring in the impacts of COVID-19.
Now with the season set to kick off on time, we ran our model's simulations of all 256 games 10,000 times to project every team's chances of winning the Super Bowl, making the playoffs, and winning its division and conference.
We've outlined those projections alongside which books have the best available odds (meaning the most valuable odds).
Disclaimer: Odds are as of Sept. 9 and via various legal sportsbooks. Note that these are not recommendations, we are only highlighting the best lines for each market.
Arizona Cardinals
No -300 | William Hill | ||
Atlanta Falcons
No -286 | DraftKings | ||
Baltimore Ravens
No +600 | William Hill | ||
Buffalo Bills
No +160 | William Hill | ||
Carolina Panthers
NO -556 | BetMGM | ||
Chicago Bears
No -180 | William Hill | ||
Cincinnati Bengals
No -1000 | DraftKings | ||
Cleveland Browns
No -149 | BetMGM | ||
Dallas Cowboys
No +200 | DraftKings | ||
Denver Broncos
No -208 | BetMGM | ||
Detroit Lions
No -300 | William Hill | ||
Green Bay Packers
No +125 | BetMGM | ||
Houston Texans
No -177 | DraftKings | ||
Indianapolis Colts
No +154 | DraftKings | ||
Jacksonville Jaguars
No -1250 | DraftKings | ||
Kansas City Chiefs
No +800 | BetMGM | ||
Los Angeles Rams
No -175 | William Hill | ||
Los Angeles Chargers
No -186 | DraftKings | ||
Miami Dolphins
No -500 | DraftKings | ||
Minnesota Vikings
No +120 | William Hill | ||
New England Patriots
No +200 | BetMGM | ||
New Orleans Saints
No +310 | BetMGM | ||
New York Giants
No -385 | BetMGM | ||
New York Jets
No -500 | DraftKings | ||
Las Vegas Raiders
No -280 | William Hill | ||
Philadelphia Eagles
No +165 | BetMGM | ||
Pittsburgh Steelers
No +115 | William Hill | ||
San Francisco 49ers
No +280 | William Hill | ||
Seattle Seahawks
No +115 | BetMGM | ||
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
No +180 | BetMGM | ||
Tennessee Titans
No +120 | William Hill | ||
Washington Football Team
No -835 | DraftKings | ||
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