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Tom Brady Retires: Buccaneers’ 2023 Super Bowl Odds Are on the Move

Tom Brady Retires: Buccaneers’ 2023 Super Bowl Odds Are on the Move article feature image
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Nic Antaya/Getty Images. Pictured: Mike Evans, Tom Brady

Tom Brady’s initial retirement report unsurprisingly impacted next year’s Super Bowl market.

His official retirement may change it even more.

The Buccaneers’ 2023 championship odds dropped from +1000 to +2000 at DraftKings after reports leaked Saturday, which shook up the top of the field.

Top Super Bowl Odds Before Brady’s Retirement

Team Odds
Chiefs +700
Bills +800
Buccaneers +1000
Rams +1100
Packers +1200
Cowboys +1400
49ers +1400
Bengals +1400
Broncos +1500
Ravens +1800
Titans +2000

Super Bowl Odds After Brady’s Retirement

Team Odds
Chiefs +650
Bills +700
Rams +1100
Cowboys +1400
Packers +1500
Broncos +1500
Ravens +1800
Buccaneers +2000
Titans +2000

*Odds as of Saturday afternoon.

Once Brady denied the report, the odds came back down to +1200. We are monitoring sportsbooks to see how they change after his official announcement.

Over the last 18 years of his playing career, Brady’s teams never closed higher than +1200 to win the Super Bowl.

Before Brady signed with the Buccaneers during the 2020 offseason, Tampa Bay was a 50-1 long shot, implying just a 1.9% chance to win the Super Bowl.

After landing with the club, Tampa Bay immediately shifted to 18-1, and stayed in the 12-1 to 18-1 range until the midway point of the year.

The Buccaneers peaked at 8-1 during the 2020 regular season, and entered the postseason 10-1, where they won the last of Brady’s seven Super Bowls.

Brady was a treasure trove for bettors, covering nearly 60% of the games he started.

To put into perspective just how successful he was — and how durable he was — Brady recorded more wins against the spread (209) than the Panthers (205), Jaguars (180) or Texans (139) have wins …. in franchise history.

Brady’s historic tenure ended in the NFC Divisional Round against the Rams. He finished 25-21-1 against the spread (54.3%) in the playoffs.

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