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Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens Game 6 NHL Playoffs, Prediction, Pick, Odds, May 16

Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens Game 6 NHL Playoffs, Prediction, Pick, Odds, May 16 article feature image
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Morgan Tencza-Imagn Images. Pictured: Jakub Dobes

The Buffalo Sabres and Montreal Canadiens meet in Game 6 of the NHL Playoffs tonight. Puck drop is set for 8:00 p.m. EDT at Bell Centre in Montreal, QC. The game will be broadcast live on ABC.

The Canadiens are favored by -1.5 on the puck line, with the over/under set at 6.5 (-100o / -120u). The Canadiens are a -160 favorite to win outright, while the Sabres are +135 to pull off the upset.

Let's get into my Sabres vs. Canadiens predictions and NHL picks.

Sabres vs. Canadiens Odds, Pick

Sabres Logo
Saturday, May 16, 2026
8:00 p.m. EDT
ABC
Canadiens Logo
Sabres Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-182
6.5
-100o / -120u
+135
Canadiens Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+149
6.5
-100o / -120u
-160
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute NHL odds here.
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  • Sabres vs. Canadiens Spread: Canadiens -1.5 (+149 ), Sabres +1.5 (-182)
  • Sabres vs. Canadiens Over/Under: 6.5 (-100o / -120u)
  • Sabres vs. Canadiens Moneyline: Sabres +135, Canadiens -160

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Sabres vs. Canadiens Preview

Buffalo Sabres

The Sabres have lost three of the past four games in this series and could be eliminated in Saturday’s Game 6. Buffalo has run into significant goaltending issues, something unlikely to be resolved at this stage of the season.

It remains unclear whether Buffalo will start Alex Lyon or Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen, but the result may not change regardless. Lyon was pulled after dropping two critical games in the series and also struggled in his lone relief appearance.

Across those three outings, Lyon is 0-2 with a .848 save percentage and a 4.60 goals-against average. Meanwhile, Luukkonen was pulled in the most recent game after allowing five goals on 23 shots for a .783 save percentage in a 6-3 loss.

Montreal Canadiens

Across the ice, Jakub Dobes is expected to start again for the Canadiens. He has been a key contributor this postseason, posting a .914 save percentage and a 2.28 goals-against average through 12 starts.

Dobes has been particularly effective in this series, winning three of his past four starts. Over that span, he has recorded a .922 save percentage and a 2.28 goals-against average.

In addition to the goaltending edge, the Canadiens have performed better in front of the net. This postseason, Montreal ranks ahead of Buffalo in expected goal share.


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Sabres vs. Canadiens Prediction

With advantages in goaltending, offense and defense, Montreal is the stronger side at -147. The Canadiens also benefit from home ice, where they have been difficult to play against.

Over their past 23 home games, Montreal is 14-9. Meanwhile, Buffalo has lost four of its past six games in Montreal.

Pick: Canadiens Moneyline (DraftKings)

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