The Golden State Valkyries (31-11) and Los Angeles Sparks (16-26) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. EDT at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, Calif. The game will be broadcast live on KPIX+.
The Valkyries are favored by -11.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 158.5 (-110o / -110u). The Valkyries are a -700 favorite to win outright, while the Sparks are +470 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Valkyries vs. Sparks predictions and WNBA picks.
Valkyries vs. Sparks Odds, Pick
| Valkyries Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-11.5 -110 | 158.5 -110o / -110u | -700 |
| Sparks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+11.5 -110 | 158.5 -110o / -110u | +470 |
- Valkyries vs. Sparks Spread: -11.5 (-110), +11.5 (-110)
- Valkyries vs. Sparks Over/Under: 158.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Valkyries vs. Sparks Moneyline: Valkyries -700, Sparks +470
- Valkyries vs. Sparks Best Bet: Gabby Williams Over 3.5 Rebounds (+126, Caesars)
Valkyries vs. Sparks Preview
Golden State is already locked into a strong playoff position and heads to Los Angeles to face a Sparks team that's been eliminated from postseason contention.
Gabby Williams is enjoying a career year for the Valkyries, averaging a personal-best 14.4 points to go with 3.3 rebounds, 2.2 assists and 1.7 steals, and she's coming off a run representing France at the FIBA World Cup, where she was even more productive across the board — 18.4 points, 5.2 rebounds, 3.4 assists and 2.8 steals over five games.
She returned to Golden State's lineup Tuesday after missing three games, logging a heavy 41 minutes in an overtime loss to Portland, a sign the Valkyries are leaning on her for a full workload again rather than easing her back in.
Valkyries vs. Sparks Prediction
Williams' season rebounding average sits just below tonight's line, but that number reflects a full season of 25 minutes per night, not the role she's playing right now. Her FIBA stretch showed real upside on the glass at nearly 5.2 rebounds a game, and her return outing for Golden State featured 41 minutes of court time — well above her regular-season norm — suggesting the coaching staff isn't holding back her workload even against a lesser opponent.
More minutes generally means more rebounding chances, and a Sparks team that's mailed in the stretch run of a lost season isn't likely to offer much resistance on the boards.
Golden State also plays a rebounding-heavy style, out-boarding opponents by more than two a game this season, and with the outcome of tonight's game unlikely to be in doubt, there's little reason for Williams to see a shortened workload.
Between her recent uptick in minutes, her strong rebounding form during international play, and a favorable matchup against a checked-out Sparks squad, the over carries real value at this price.
Best Bet: Gabby Williams Over 3.5 Rebounds (+126, Caesars)
