The Toronto Tempo (11-32) and Connecticut Sun (10-33) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:00 p.m. EDT at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Conn. The game will be broadcast live on NBA TV.
The Sun are favored by -1.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 166.5 (-112o / -108u). The Sun are a -130 favorite to win outright, while the Tempo are +110 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Tempo vs. Sun predictions and WNBA picks, and be sure to download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Tempo vs. Sun Odds, Pick
| Tempo Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -102 | 166.5 -112o / -108u | +110 |
| Sun Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -118 | 166.5 -112o / -108u | -130 |
- Tempo vs. Sun Spread: Sun -1.5 (-118), Tempo +1.5 (-102)
- Tempo vs. Sun Over/Under: 166.5 (-112o / -108u)
- Tempo vs. Sun Moneyline: Tempo +110, Sun -130
- Tempo vs. Sun Best Bet: Tempo +1.5 (-102)
Tempo vs. Sun Preview
The "WNBA Sharp" Action system in WNBA Spread play is designed around the belief that meaningful open to close movement during the regular season often signals respected money entering the market before the broader public reacts.
By isolating games where the spread shifts noticeably in one direction while the overall share of spread tickets remains modest, the model attempts to capture instances where influential bettors drive the adjustment rather than volume from casual players.
In the WNBA where limits are lower and information can move numbers quickly, even a controlled shift from open to close can reflect a strong analytical edge related to matchup data, rest dynamics, or lineup availability.
When the ticket percentage stays within a contained range yet the line moves decisively, it suggests imbalance between money and count, so aligning with that movement seeks to ride professional conviction rather than surface level betting sentiment.
Tempo vs. Sun Prediction
Connecticut comes off back-to-back double-digit losses against the Lynx and the Mystics, where off-target shooting and defensive breakdowns exposed serious depth issues. The Sun struggle to maintain pace late in games, which creates real vulnerability against roster configurations built to push transition opportunities.
The Tempo feature star guard Marina Mabrey alongside Nyara Sabally, both acquired in the expansion process. Mabrey played for the Sun earlier in her career and brings intimate knowledge of the host team's half-court schemes. Her familiarity combined with Toronto's interior physical depth under head coach Sandy Brondello gives the visitors distinct matchup advantages inside.
Best Bet: Tempo +1.5 (-102)
