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The New York Liberty (2-0) and Atlanta Dream (2-0) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 12:00 p.m. EDT at Gateway Center Arena in College Park, Ga. The game will be broadcast live on ABC.
The Dream are favored by -3.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 173.5 (-114 / -106). Atlanta is a -164 favorite to win outright, while the Liberty are +134 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Liberty vs. Dream predictions and WNBA picks.
Liberty vs. Dream Odds, Pick
| Liberty Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -108 | 173.5 -114o / -106u | +134 |
| Dream Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -112 | 173.5 -114o / -106u | -164 |
- Liberty vs. Dream Spread: Dream -3.5 (-112), Liberty +3.5 (-108)
- Liberty vs. Dream Over/Under: 173.5 (-114 / -106)
- Liberty vs. Dream Moneyline: Liberty +134, Dream -164
- Liberty vs. Dream Best Bet: DeWanna Bonner Over 4.5 Rebounds
Liberty vs. Dream Preview
The Liberty and Dream enter this semifinal series in strong form after sweeping their first-round opponents, but they took different paths to get here. New York had an extra day of rest after eliminating the Lynx 2-0 on Tuesday, becoming the first No. 8 seed in NBA history to defeat a No. 1 seed. After an inconsistent regular season, the Liberty appear to have found their best basketball at the right time, with Breanna Stewart, Jonquel Jones and Sabrina Ionescu leading the way.
New York's biggest strength is the balance of its Big Three. The Liberty opened the series against Minnesota with strong interior defense and efficient perimeter shooting before closing it out with an 87-71 win at a packed Barclays Center. The combination of interior presence, scoring versatility and outside shooting makes New York difficult to defend when all three are clicking. The extended rest could also help the Liberty enter Game 1 with fresh legs, although they'll need to maintain the intensity that carried them through the first round.
Atlanta arrives with plenty of momentum of its own after sweeping Washington to reach the semifinals for the first time since 2018. The Dream won both games by 15-plus points, showing they can take over after a competitive start and build separation through offensive runs. Atlanta also knocked down 13 three-pointers in Game 2, highlighting the perimeter threat that could create problems for New York.
The Dream's biggest advantage is their ability to generate offense in different ways, combining Allisha Gray's scoring, Jordin Canada's playmaking and Angel Reese's interior presence. However, the Liberty present a tougher defensive challenge than Washington, particularly after showing how effectively they could protect the paint against Minnesota. Atlanta will need to keep moving the ball and converting from the perimeter rather than relying on individual scoring bursts if they want to keep this series at home.
Liberty vs. Dream Prediction
While New York’s Big Three enters Game 1 rested after knocking off Minnesota, the best individual value in this semifinal opener centers on veteran DeWanna Bonner’s modest prop lines. Bonner’s length and postseason poise provide crucial frontcourt depth for the Dream against New York’s physical interior presence, making her line targets surprisingly low for her projected rotational workload.
Our Action PRO System projects Bonner for 5.90 rebounds, unlocking a massive 25.5% edge on Over 4.5 Rebounds (+124 at FanDuel). Additionally, the model projects her to score 9.03 points tonight, clearing her 6.5 scoring line by a substantial cushion as she continues to capitalize on open perimeter looks generated by Atlanta's ball movement.
Facing New York's primary focus on stopping Angel Reese inside, Bonner will find ample opportunities to attack open spaces and hit the glass. Trust our PRO projection edges and take DeWanna Bonner Over 4.5 Rebounds (+124) alongside Over 6.5 Points (-122) for a juicy +224 SGP.
Best Bets: SGP +224
- DeWanna Bonner Over 4.5 Rebounds (+124)
- DeWanna Bonner Over 6.5 Points (-122)
